But there isn’t a single election, there are 51 separate elections, whose results are combined in a way which gives Republicans an advantage. I will continue to maintain the election will be close until Harris starts to pull even in states like Florida and Texas. Even if she doesn’t win those, if those states are closer to even that’s an indication that Harris ought to win all the toss-up states.
But unless that happens, I will assume that the election is a toss-up. And not just the election itself, but also the post-gane show of certification.
It is the certification that has me worried. If this election is anywhere within a couple tenths of a point in Georgia, Nevada, or Michigan then shit is about to be a fucking nightmare.
I don’t think people are adequately weighing the danger of the Supreme Court putting their thumb directly on the scale in the event these election deniers are able to effectuate something approximating the obstruction in 2000 or 2020. Now that we know John Roberts is effectively in the bag for Trump, all bets are off.
I’m curious with all the nonsense Trump and Vance are spewing about Springfield if Ohio starts to come into play. I may be dreaming, they were up 8 or 9 points before the debate, but I haven’t seen any new numbers since.
But there isn’t a single election, there are 51 separate elections, whose results are combined in a way which gives Republicans an advantage. I will continue to maintain the election will be close until Harris starts to pull even in states like Florida and Texas. Even if she doesn’t win those, if those states are closer to even that’s an indication that Harris ought to win all the toss-up states.
But unless that happens, I will assume that the election is a toss-up. And not just the election itself, but also the post-gane show of certification.
It is the certification that has me worried. If this election is anywhere within a couple tenths of a point in Georgia, Nevada, or Michigan then shit is about to be a fucking nightmare.
I don’t think people are adequately weighing the danger of the Supreme Court putting their thumb directly on the scale in the event these election deniers are able to effectuate something approximating the obstruction in 2000 or 2020. Now that we know John Roberts is effectively in the bag for Trump, all bets are off.
I’m curious with all the nonsense Trump and Vance are spewing about Springfield if Ohio starts to come into play. I may be dreaming, they were up 8 or 9 points before the debate, but I haven’t seen any new numbers since.
Recent poll put Harris within margin of error in Texas.
https://texaspolitics.utexas.edu/blog/donald-trump-maintains-lead-texas-kamala-harris-narrows-gap-amidst-surge-democratic-enthusiasm