The New York Times/Siena College polls were conducted in English and Spanish on cellular and landline telephones in Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina from Sept. 17 to 21, 2024; In all, 2,077 likely voters were interviewed.
Harris voter: checks caller ID, sees it’s spam, blocks call
NYT: a ha! But we’ll just get that one millennial asshole who answered and said they’d vote trump to troll us and multiply it by 1,000. There. All balanced out now. Looks good.
That’s without joking exactly what they do. Now if that one millennial voter is a different one in each cohort of participants you get huge swings in the survey that are not very predictive of election outcomes, and that error is poorly represented in the margin of error.
Harris voter: checks caller ID, sees it’s spam, blocks call
NYT: a ha! But we’ll just get that one millennial asshole who answered and said they’d vote trump to troll us and multiply it by 1,000. There. All balanced out now. Looks good.
Polls.
That’s without joking exactly what they do. Now if that one millennial voter is a different one in each cohort of participants you get huge swings in the survey that are not very predictive of election outcomes, and that error is poorly represented in the margin of error.