I don’t like the clickbait title at all – Mastodon’s clearly going to survive, at least for the forseeable future, and it wouldn’t surprise me if it outlives Xitter.
Still, Mastodon is struggling; most of the people who checkd it out in the November 2022 surge (or the smaller June 2023 surge) didn’t stick around, and numbers have been steadily declining for the last year. The author makes some good points, and some of the comments are excellent.
You know all of those politicians and scientists people like to follow? Well, they’re still on Xitter.
I remember their “official” app claimed it was a third party app on the stores, which probably put off a lot of potential users. Any phone users will be getting an app by some randos no matter what they pick, which is a big trust issue for many of us.