Vantage Data House
app.vantagedatahouse.com

Hopium? This blog is suggesting an incredible margin of victory for Harris.

VDH is the website. They are outright calling respected meta-polls FiveThirtyEight and RCP completely wrong. Their overall argument is that the Senate-race is incredibly favored in the Democrat’s favor.

I don’t know if I necessarily believe that argument. But its still interesting to think about. Discuss?

  • Rhaedas
    100•4 months ago

    Remember, even in a blue sweep Trump and friends are poised to declare the election rigged and that they actually won. The next year will be a rough one.

    • growsomethinggood ()
      66•4 months ago

      This is true, but the larger the margin the more difficult it makes it for them to contest.

      Vote. Bring your friends and family to vote. Call up your friends in other states and make sure they have a voting plan.

      Voting won’t magically fix our broken political machine but it will help us from sliding deeper in the hole. Vote like you’re taking a stupid little walk outside for your mental health during lockdown- not the only way you should be taking care of things but important maintenance nonetheless.

      • The Octonaut
        45•4 months ago

        Large margin for Harris: “this is absurd, we should have won, look how much they cheated”

        Small margin for Harris: “They cheated, we need to send electoral votes for Trump anyway. Stop the steal!”

        Small margin victory for Trump: “we won even though they cheated! Big changes coming to prevent their cheating in future”

        Huge victory for Trump: “we have a mandate to eradicate the wetbacks”

      • Rhaedas
        21•4 months ago

        Yes, vote. See how big of a gap we can make, but remember that just that things won’t settle down after the election. January 6th proved that, and in retrospect we as a country got lucky in the outcome. It could have been far worse. They’ll contest any results even if there is no legal reason to, so just be ready.

    • modifier
      3•4 months ago

      I am just accepting the fact that the entire period between election day and inauguration is going to suck very, very badly if Harris wins.

      • SkeezixEnglish
        33•4 months ago

        It will suck if trump wins too. Except it will keep on sucking long after inauguration. Perhaps forever.

        • @[email protected]
          17•4 months ago

          That’s literally what I told my wife lol.

          She goes “Its going to suck even if she wins because of his supporters.”

          Me “I’d rather deal with 2 months of suckage over a lifetime of him. Because if he wins, our country is over.”

        • modifier
          2•4 months ago

          Yeah you can just remove the outer boundary of suckage in that case.

      • @kescusay
        11•4 months ago

        One difference: Biden is president. He’s not going to put up with any of the bullshit Trump and his cronies got up to in 2020.

        • modifier
          3•4 months ago

          Its better to be the incumbent party for sure but there are still manifold threat modes.

        • @Dkarma
          1•3 months ago

          The difference is Republicans control the house this time. They’ll just refuse to certify if Harris wins.