On average, the D less R margin in the early vote mispredicted the final Clinton/Trump margin by 14 points! Pollsters get yelled at when their polls are off by even 3 points, and anything more than that is considered an absolute disaster. Imagine if a poll was off by 14 points: no one would ever listen to it again! And yet we get the same frankly amateurish analysis of the early vote in every election.

  • @foggy
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    5 hours ago

    Weirdly antagonistic tone…

    Not weirdly antagonistic at all when you quite literally challenged me.

    I’d list others but I doubt you’d read it anyway

    You are the antagonizer. Eat a cumsock.

    I see you decided to step down from your antagonization you literally asked for:

    I’d list others but I doubt you’d read it anyway

    Which was a wise move on a plaintext debate platform since you know you’re 100% out of steam.

    Have a good night Holmes.

    Edit: to be perfectly clear here…

    • You posted about Nate silver.
    • I responded with my discontent towards Nate silver…
    • You responded attacking and challenging me, personally
    • I stepped up
    • You went trump mode? Attacked me again instead of the argument.
    • I am now calling you out on bad rhetoric.