Kamala is going to win comfortably. Mark it.

Just a matter of how much violence and SCOTUS fuckery we’ll have to get through first.

  • @rsuri
    link
    78 hours ago

    The Democratic nominee had an advantage of 19 to 29 points over her Republican rival, according to tallies by ABC News-Ipsos, New York Times-Siena College and CNN.

    The lead is larger than the one Hillary Clinton had over Donald Trump in the run-up to the 2016 election when polls showed the Democratic nominee leading with 8 to 16 points.

    Joe Biden had a greater margin in late 2020 polls when Democrats embraced mail voting, while Trump attacked it and persuaded his supporters not to do it.

    Ok, so basically Democrats always have an advantage in early voting and it’s hard to know what to make of this. It’s pretty much exactly what you’d expect given that 2016 was before Trump heavily politicized early and mail-in voting and 2020 was during the pandemic when Democrats were less likely to want to go to crowded polling places because of the whole believing Covid exists thing.