@return2ozma to politics • 3 months agoGambling on 'vibes' — the betting markets are getting the election all wrongthehill.commessage-square11arrow-up150arrow-down133cross-posted to: [email protected]
arrow-up117arrow-down1external-linkGambling on 'vibes' — the betting markets are getting the election all wrongthehill.com@return2ozma to politics • 3 months agomessage-square11cross-posted to: [email protected]
minus-square@[email protected]linkfedilink5•3 months agoHonestly, I trust the betting markets more than the pollsters. Money on the line makes a difference.
minus-squareℍ𝕂-𝟞𝟝linkfedilinkEnglish15•3 months agoYou don’t necessarily get common sense with money, especially if you are very wealthy.
minus-squareFunderpants linkfedilink5•3 months agoBetting markets can be swayed easily by wealth, sure. Another bias is that they’re overwhelmingly frequented by young men.
minus-square@[email protected]linkfedilink5•3 months agoAlso betting on who you think will win, doesn’t always match with who you’re voting for.
minus-square@[email protected]linkfedilink2•3 months agoDefinitely. Especially when you also know that the betting markets had Hillary Clinton at 82 percent odds of winning the day before the election and 90 percent odds of UK voters rejecting Brexit. That’s obviously not what happened.
Honestly, I trust the betting markets more than the pollsters. Money on the line makes a difference.
You don’t necessarily get common sense with money, especially if you are very wealthy.
Betting markets can be swayed easily by wealth, sure. Another bias is that they’re overwhelmingly frequented by young men.
Also betting on who you think will win, doesn’t always match with who you’re voting for.
Definitely. Especially when you also know that the betting markets had Hillary Clinton at 82 percent odds of winning the day before the election and 90 percent odds of UK voters rejecting Brexit. That’s obviously not what happened.