Polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight has not had Kamala Harris as the favorite to win since October 17.

Summary

Polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight has named Vice President Kamala Harris as the narrow favorite to win the presidential race on Election Day, shifting from former President Donald Trump for the first time since October 17.

Harris’s lead is razor-thin, with FiveThirtyEight’s model showing her winning 50 out of 100 simulations compared to Trump’s 49. Similarly, Nate Silver’s model in The Silver Bulletin also slightly favors Harris, giving her a win in 50.015% of cases.

Both forecasts emphasize the unprecedented closeness of this race, with Pennsylvania as a key battleground.

    • @[email protected]
      25•12 hours ago

      Everyone’s been talking to grandma this cycle. The grandmas are out in force.

      Respect granny and go do the same.

    • @NineMileTower
      -28•12 hours ago

      I cannot wait to stop seeing this comment. “Doesn’t matter. Go vote.” Like people on Lemmy or even reddit for that matter are unaware of the impact of voting.

      • EleventhHour
        14•12 hours ago

        Thanks for that worthwhile contribution. You really changed my mind.

        • @NineMileTower
          -11•12 hours ago

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