Live Presidential Forecast
www.nytimes.com
Follow our real-time estimates to see who’s ahead in the race between Kamala Harris and Donald J. Trump.

The New York Times predicts a Trump victory. The say the probability of a Trump victory is 90%.

Edit: Probability has dropped to 89% now, if that makes you feel better.

Edit: Now it’s 93%.

  • Flying Squid
    28•17 days ago

    Well… looks like we’re fleeing the country.

    • @Fredselfish
      9•17 days ago

      Good luck to you. There is no escape if Trump wins.

      • Flying Squid
        20•17 days ago

        There’s an escape from my daughter being put in a conversion therapy camp. That’s my focus now.

        • @Fredselfish
          -7•17 days ago

          You think the fascism will stop here? Dude with Trump winning America he all but granteed that the far right will rise up all over the world. Hell with America backing might even help them do so. So tell me @FlyingSquid where are you going run? Huh I have gay children too and there no where to run away when nazi are taking over the world. Why not fight? Huh you think you have a safe cave to run into?

          • Flying Squid
            20•17 days ago

            You’re right. I should just give up and let her get marched into a camp in the U.S. No point in trying to save her. She’s a lost cause. Thanks for the excellent advice.

            As for where we could run, I have dual citizenship with the UK and, believe it or not, they don’t even have conversion therapy

            • @Fredselfish
              -3•17 days ago

              UK doesn’t have it for now you mean. UK did Britexit whatever you call it. This Trump win and the christian right getting control of America will just fuel more far right governments. UK will turn hard to the right now. You might get two years.

              ALSO I SAID TO FIGHT NOTHING ABOUT STANDING BY AND WATCHING IT HAPPEN. You don’t own guns? Then you better go buy some I am.

              • Flying Squid
                13•17 days ago

                What do you think happened to the Jews that stayed behind to fight the Nazis? I can tell you. It’s why most of my family tree got trimmed. And my family wasn’t the Nazis in this equation.

                “The UK doesn’t have a Project 2025 yet, so risk her being put in a camp before you get imprisoned for resistance” isn’t the selling point you think it is.

                • @Fredselfish
                  -2•17 days ago

                  Sorry what happened to your family, and I wish I can promise it won’t happen again. But its happening and this time its happening to America. Same one who has largest military in the world. So no can save us this time but ourselves.

                  How is running to country that outlaws you owning a fire arm better then one that allows you to. For now anyway. We can fight and win. We have one shot. Not over yet almost. We should organize the largest strike in history. Shut it all down. Refuse to go to work all of us. Until are demands are met.

                  If we do that Now while Biden still in charge maybe we can force them to put guardrail up to protect us from the worse of what Trump wants to do.

                  One stop him from dismantling our government in turn for loyalties.