The clearest change that U.S. President-elect Donald Trump is likely to make on foreign policy is in Ukraine. Republican support for spending more on sending weapons to Kyiv has been declining, and Trump will probably follow through on his promise to seek a peace deal.
The problem is that peace will likely come at terms that do not favor Kyiv. Now, Ukraine’s military losses have begun to mount, and the practical barriers to continued support to Ukraine—declining Western stockpiles, Ukraine’s significant manpower and corruption problems—have increased. Trump has a popular mandate to seek a settlement, even though Europeans might object.
To the headline: NO.
Not really, despite his insane promises, he most likely will do nothing. Except block further aid to Ukraine. But that already happened when the house blocked aid for 8 months.
Many European countries are supporting Ukraines native weapon production, and increasing production in EU. Although USA has a bigger industrial complex, and some of the best weapons, I think the rest of the world will still more than a a match for Russia.
No it has not increased, and it is worse for Russia. Russia is blatantly corrupt, and their economy evidently cannot carry the burden of the war at current levels, where Ukraine has a financial budget for next year that seems way more sustainable.
Ukraine will win without USA, because the rest of the world will continue to support Ukraine.