Donald Trump tapped into a rightwing online media ecosystem fueled by young men’s disaffection, while Kamala Harris struggled to connect with young voters.

  • @jordanlundM
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    919 hours ago

    “Young white men are increasingly conservative, and it’s a really alarming trend” but did they VOTE though?

    I think it’s less of “Trump turned out the young conservative male vote” than it was “Harris turned off the young liberal vote.”

    Looking at the 2020 demographics is skewed because of Covid and vote by mail precautions, but let’s see what the 18 to 24s were doing there:

    https://www.statista.com/statistics/1096299/voter-turnout-presidential-elections-by-age-historical/

    48% of eligible voters aged 18 to 24 turned out in 2020. Lowest of any of the age demographic. 55% for 25 to 29.

    So 2024?

    https://circle.tufts.edu/2024-election#overall-youth-turnout-down-from-2020-but-strong-in-battleground-states

    “We estimate that 42% of young voters (+/- 1%), ages 18-29, cast ballots in the 2024 presidential election, a lower youth turnout than in 2020—when our early estimate put youth turnout above 50%—and approximately on par with the 2016 presidential election.”

    Which makes sense, without the covid restrictions pushing vote by mail, overall participation dropped back to “normal” levels.