Summary

Ukraine has stopped Russian natural gas transit to Europe after a prewar deal expired, citing national security concerns amid the ongoing war.

This marks a significant shift, as Russian gas continued to flow through Ukraine’s pipelines for nearly three years post-invasion.

The move aligns with Europe’s broader goal to phase out Russian gas by 2027, with Russia’s market share already plummeting to 8%.

The halt impacts countries like Moldova and highlights Europe’s diversification efforts, including U.S. and Norwegian imports.

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    127 days ago

    Freezing nights in Tiraspol.

    Moldova can be supplied via Romania, and I guess it won’t be too much work to also supply Transnistria. There’s bound to be lots of Transnistrians coming over the border looking for warmth, Transnistrian industry is fucked two ways both when it comes to energy and workers, add general discontent, meaning the powers that be are fucked in three ways. Long story short it’s not going to take long until they’re going to start talking about re-integration terms. I mean it’s not like Transnistrian companies wouldn’t already be paying Moldovan taxes, they wouldn’t be able to export to European markets otherwise and they depend on that. The inner-Moldovan border isn’t a front line, they’ll figure it out. Might very well already have, but wanted to wait until the gas actually cuts off.