The Union party (CDU + CSU) is going to “win” but needs another party. Thus is going to be either SPD or the Greens (depending on the result). Currently both CDU and CSU say, they don’t want the Greens but they also draw red lines for SPD.

Main topic was economy but after the far right motivated attack in Magdeburg. The right party CDU tries to make the ‘refugees, asylum seeker, foreign people’ topic to main point. Additional we can see calls for mass survaillance from Union and SPD AS a result of the attack though that wouldn’t have changed anything. So what we can see: welcome to populist election battle