Ukraine’s defence forces lost control of over 3,600 sq km of territory in 2024, losing more than 20 sq km per day in November. In 2023, they lost a total of about 540 sq km and liberated about 430 sq km.
And that russian losses, economy, production cannot go on more than some 3-6-12 months depending on who you listen to. It won’t stop stop ofc but just make the russians less and less effective until it’s more or less useless.
russian losses, economy, production cannot go on more than some 3-6-12 months
Absolutely, Russia is already slowly collapsing, and it will get a lot worse in 2025. I’m guessing around summer or autumn so many things in Russia will disintegrate that they can’t continue effectively anymore. Real estate market can collapse at any time, collapsing the financial market, but the financial markets are already so hard stressed it’s basically the same as if it was collapsing. In practice neither people or businesses can borrow money.
bankruptcies are already high despite a heated economy, and this will only get worse as inflation rises. Russia is beginning to price regulate to keep inflation in check, but that will only lead to shortages and more bankruptcies.
There is no way Russia can continue this war and get its economy together. The cracks are showing everywhere now. Air traffic is having safety regulations lifted to keep flying, and just the other day, 2 passenger planes had to emergency land, because of engine failure.
Russia is out of options and out of reserves, from this point the decline will only accelerate.
I would expect the weapons lobby to be more powerful than Trump, and in rare case it might actually work out as a positive. Could be wrong though. Things could get real bad.
I certainly hope so too, if he does however, sanctions from the EU and many countries will remain in force. And Trump will create a diplomatic nightmare towards essentially all countries that are traditionally friendly or even allies of USA.
And that russian losses, economy, production cannot go on more than some 3-6-12 months depending on who you listen to. It won’t stop stop ofc but just make the russians less and less effective until it’s more or less useless.
Absolutely, Russia is already slowly collapsing, and it will get a lot worse in 2025. I’m guessing around summer or autumn so many things in Russia will disintegrate that they can’t continue effectively anymore. Real estate market can collapse at any time, collapsing the financial market, but the financial markets are already so hard stressed it’s basically the same as if it was collapsing. In practice neither people or businesses can borrow money.
bankruptcies are already high despite a heated economy, and this will only get worse as inflation rises. Russia is beginning to price regulate to keep inflation in check, but that will only lead to shortages and more bankruptcies.
There is no way Russia can continue this war and get its economy together. The cracks are showing everywhere now. Air traffic is having safety regulations lifted to keep flying, and just the other day, 2 passenger planes had to emergency land, because of engine failure.
Russia is out of options and out of reserves, from this point the decline will only accelerate.
I’m only hoping Trump won’t “lift all sanctions” or something equally disastrous that won’t save russia but let it keep going a year or two more.
But it seems like he’s surrounded with some reasonable people when it comes to Ukraine so there is hope, I hope!
I would expect the weapons lobby to be more powerful than Trump, and in rare case it might actually work out as a positive. Could be wrong though. Things could get real bad.
I certainly hope so too, if he does however, sanctions from the EU and many countries will remain in force. And Trump will create a diplomatic nightmare towards essentially all countries that are traditionally friendly or even allies of USA.
Yeah, “interesting times” ahead for sure.