Because you don’t give up the incumbent advantage in US Presidential Elections. It is bad strategy, and not only eliminates a very real statistical advantage, it makes the party look very bad which can actively hurt the party beyond just losing the advantage.
There are people who have studied this shit their entire lives. You don’t know better than them.
Nearly every incumbent in a Western democracy for the past two years has lost their re-election.
Desperately clinging to out of date concepts in the face of statistics is the reason why you’re not a political analyst. The reason Biden stepped down and the reason Trudeau just retired is because polling data made it abundantly clear neither incumbent had a snowball’s chance in hell of winning.
You know what would have been the adult move? Him resigning in early 2023 when people were starting to notice senior moments more and more often. Then we would not have had an incumbent who proved he belongs in the memory care ward on national television. You don’t suffer a loss like that debate and hide behind strategy. They fucked us. They fucked the country over one senile man’s ego.
Because you don’t give up the incumbent advantage in US Presidential Elections. It is bad strategy, and not only eliminates a very real statistical advantage, it makes the party look very bad which can actively hurt the party beyond just losing the advantage.
There are people who have studied this shit their entire lives. You don’t know better than them.
Yes, but when other incumbent governments were being voted out all over the world after the pandemic that should have been a red flag at least.
Even the ones that handled it well, like nz
Are you saying that Biden would have done better than Harris?
Nearly every incumbent in a Western democracy for the past two years has lost their re-election.
Desperately clinging to out of date concepts in the face of statistics is the reason why you’re not a political analyst. The reason Biden stepped down and the reason Trudeau just retired is because polling data made it abundantly clear neither incumbent had a snowball’s chance in hell of winning.
You know what would have been the adult move? Him resigning in early 2023 when people were starting to notice senior moments more and more often. Then we would not have had an incumbent who proved he belongs in the memory care ward on national television. You don’t suffer a loss like that debate and hide behind strategy. They fucked us. They fucked the country over one senile man’s ego.