The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024 | CNN Politics
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In a presidential contest cycle, Senate races don’t get the same kind of attention when there’s still a year to go until Election Day. But the start of the second fundraising quarter earlier this month brought a host of new candidate names – some declared and some still biding their time – that will help shape the race for control of the chamber in 2024 and the ultimate power dynamics for whoever is president in 2025.
  1. West Virginia - Incumbent: Democrat Joe Manchin
  2. Montana - Incumbent: Democrat Jon Tester
  3. Ohio - Incumbent: Democrat Sherrod Brown
  4. Arizona - Incumbent: Independent Kyrsten Sinema
  5. Nevada - Incumbent: Democrat Jacky Rosen
  6. Wisconsin - Incumbent: Democrat Tammy Baldwin
  7. Pennsylvania - Incumbent: Democrat Bob Casey
  8. Michigan - Incumbent: Democrat Debbie Stabenow (retiring)
  9. Texas - Incumbent: Republican Ted Cruz
  10. Florida - Incumbent: Republican Rick Scott
    • Baron Von J
      10•1 year ago

      People in the “minority” party districts get complacent that their district will be safe so there’s lower turnout (Harris County in Tx, 3rd largest county in the country, heavily Democratic, had under 50% turnout in the 2020 elections). People in “majority” party districts feel like there’s no hope they’ll be represented, so they give up and don’t vote.