cross-posted from: https://feddit.online/c/[email protected]/p/1830621/british-public-more-likely-to-prefer-count-binface-wins-clacton-by-election-than-nigel
- In a hypothetical forced choice head-to-head, 1 in 3 British adults (33%) would prefer Count Binface to win the Clacton by-election, giving him a 12ppt lead over Farage (21%). 32% say neither. 13% don’t know;
- Nearly 3 in 4 (74%) state that the parliamentary standards commissioner should be investigating whether the Reform UK leader broke parliamentary rules;
- 73% say investigation should continue even if Farage wins the by-election.
Source: Ipsos.


I’ve heard it’s full of old conservatives, so probably Farage will win. I’d love to be wrong though.
If it’s close, it’s still a humiliation so it’s a win in my book.
Farage won with 33% last time with the remaining 67% split between candidates
If the same people vote again but that 67% go for binface he has already lost.
Hell if only 50% of that 67% vote for binface he still loses
Thing is, our system is heavily reliant of FPTP. FPTP has no effect when there’s literally only two candidates