Democrats are currently leading Republicans in the RealClearPolling generic congressional average

Democrats are currently leading Republicans in the RealClearPolling generic congressional average

A blue wave may not be as certain as some polls have predicted, experts warn ahead of Election Day, noting forecasts may be skewed because Trump supporters are notoriously difficult to reach, according to a report.

While current polls paint a positive picture for Democrats ahead of the midterms this November 3 — some pollsters are questioning whether that number may be inflated due to supporters of President Donald Trump being difficult to reach by pollsters, Axios reported.

Polls previously underestimated Trump’s support during the presidential races in 2016, 2020 and 2024. Even though midterm polling is typically more accurate, some still underestimated Republican support in 2022, Scott Keeter, senior survey adviser at Pew Research Center, told Axios.

  • Nurgus
    32·
    9 days ago

    Voting record isn’t as useful as you’d think. They tend to vote for policy they don’t like when they don’t have the numbers to stop it. Purely so they can take credit for a popular thing they fought against.

    • myyass
      2·
      9 days ago

      Tell me about. It’s always fun to hear “70% voted in favor for this amendment, we will find a way to overrule this.”

    • bonesawmcl
      1·
      9 days ago

      But a record (and a voting populace using that record) would also disincentivise such voting behavior, would it not?

      • Nurgus
        1·
        9 days ago

        Nope, you have it the wrong way around. They want to appear to be on the “right” side even when they’ve done everything they can to fight it. A clear record of how they voted (which is a good thing for plenty of other reasons) is just more incentive to vote the popular way when they can’t win.