• @DevCat
    link
    72 years ago

    this badly breaks MAD.

    Not really. Current estimates are that Russia has about 1,500 missiles deployed and ready to go. If we assume only 10% will actually lift off, and of those, only 10% will hit their target and detonate, that leaves 15 cities to be hit. Living near a potential target?

    • @fubo
      link
      32 years ago

      Me? I’m not far downhill from a National Lab; if their nukes work, I’m toast.

    • Bloops
      link
      fedilink
      02 years ago

      If we assume only 10% will actually lift off, and of those, only 10% will hit their target and detonate

      What? Why would we assume this?

      • @DevCat
        link
        32 years ago

        I’m assuming absolute crap maintenance of missiles and warheads. If they kept better care of them, more targets get hit.

        • Bloops
          link
          fedilink
          22 years ago

          We should err on the side of pessimism, not wild optimism when it comes to this stuff. Joke’s on us if we start a nuclear war and a billion people die because we thought their maintenance was bad.