…the data does not point to any clear changing crime trend that would justify rapid closures of these five stores for specifically crime reasons. Given these trends I’m highly skeptical that rising crime at these stores is the main explanation for the store closures.
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My theory is that the above graphs are actually telling a deeper story. Those stores may not be closing in spite of lower levels of crime but rather because of them.
Crime isn’t good — obviously — but shopliftings at a store imply something about that store’s performance. That the stores that are closing have lower crime levels may suggest that they are seeing fewer customers than the other stores. The number of crimes isn’t just a measure of criminal activity, it’s also a measure of customers (NOTE: A few readers have pointed out that some of these stores are physically smaller than normal Target stores which certainly fits the data and is good context to have).
You can’t have pickpockets on Bourbon Street if there are no tourists around, so a ton of pickpocket incidents being reported can be taken as a sign of a rollicking good Mardi Gras.
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Unfortunately, crime makes an easy and simple boogeyman for complex decisions that may only be tangentially related to crime — if at all. We are fortunate to have open crime data that allows for a deeper dive into the factors that may or may not be impacting corporate moves such as this.
Sounds like they fucked around and found out what happens when you completely gut your system to cut corners and make data look pretty.
I work at a target and so much this. This past month has been absolute hell, the inventory system does not work, they send shit that doesn’t go on the floor for 3+ weeks all while we still have empty shelves of the things we sell right now.
I worked there before it went to shit and left riiiiiight as they started gutting inventory teams. It has had absolutely spectacular fallout across the board just because they didn’t like inventory team + system telling them their stock counts were totally fucked as a result of never giving overnight time to properly unload trucks.
It’s even funnier because it’s like this at almost any store you go into, same shit different spoon. Oh and pushing overnight to dayside so they didn’t give them the extra money on their pay + hire less people lol. What a joke.
Shit, a company I worked for had stuff on Target shelves and after we pulled the items we were still getting inventory back almost 1 year later. That seems so inefficient to me. I could be wrong but to my knowledge it’s like this because each department acts as their own business unit so there is no cohesion it feels like.
You are correct about how everything is weirdly split, we even now have 2 different beauty departments as they decided to add an Ulta into my target. Never will they schedule enough people in any single department though.