I do want to point out that while our tech doesnt look as amazing in the same way as the 50’s thought it’d be, its pretty amazing in its own ways. I’m writing this message to you on a glass obelisk physically connected to nothing, that enables me to talk to my adopted family on the literal opposite end of the planet with maybe a few seconds of delay (if that), who dont speak the same language as me, and its more than 100,000 times more powerful than the computers thay first got us to the moon, while being small enough to comfortably fit in my pocket
You type posts that long on mobile? I am genuinely an old now.
Anyway, yeah, absolutely. We do live in the future. The point is that people extrapolate from whatever tech is in growth mode and inevitably go past where the real asymptote is. So yeah, if you were living in the 60s nuclear power and the space race seemed like amazing achievements, but it turns out the tech stopped shy of… you know, moonbases and the X-Men. If you were in the 80s automation and computers seemed like magic, but sentience didn’t emerge from sheer computation and… well, actually short of the cyborg part pretty much every other part of Robocop happened, so we’ll call that a tie.
So now we get affordable machine learning leading to working language and synthetic image models and assume that’s gonna grow forever until we get the holodeck and artificial general intelligence. And we may, but we could also hit the ceiling pretty close to where we are now.
Thats fair, and yeah I spend a lot of time on transit these days, so I have the time to write up long posts on mobile xD As another aside, VR Tech and Mocap tech mean that we do actually have modern reality adjusted versions of the Holodeck right now! Check out Sandbox VR, they have locations in multiple different countries and its super cool! I’m sure there are other companies that have done similar, Sandbox is just the one I know of and have used!
I do want to point out that while our tech doesnt look as amazing in the same way as the 50’s thought it’d be, its pretty amazing in its own ways. I’m writing this message to you on a glass obelisk physically connected to nothing, that enables me to talk to my adopted family on the literal opposite end of the planet with maybe a few seconds of delay (if that), who dont speak the same language as me, and its more than 100,000 times more powerful than the computers thay first got us to the moon, while being small enough to comfortably fit in my pocket
You type posts that long on mobile? I am genuinely an old now.
Anyway, yeah, absolutely. We do live in the future. The point is that people extrapolate from whatever tech is in growth mode and inevitably go past where the real asymptote is. So yeah, if you were living in the 60s nuclear power and the space race seemed like amazing achievements, but it turns out the tech stopped shy of… you know, moonbases and the X-Men. If you were in the 80s automation and computers seemed like magic, but sentience didn’t emerge from sheer computation and… well, actually short of the cyborg part pretty much every other part of Robocop happened, so we’ll call that a tie.
So now we get affordable machine learning leading to working language and synthetic image models and assume that’s gonna grow forever until we get the holodeck and artificial general intelligence. And we may, but we could also hit the ceiling pretty close to where we are now.
Thats fair, and yeah I spend a lot of time on transit these days, so I have the time to write up long posts on mobile xD As another aside, VR Tech and Mocap tech mean that we do actually have modern reality adjusted versions of the Holodeck right now! Check out Sandbox VR, they have locations in multiple different countries and its super cool! I’m sure there are other companies that have done similar, Sandbox is just the one I know of and have used!