There’s a gathering sense that President Biden’s response to the war in Gaza may cost him the 2024 election. A recent Gallup poll showed that his support among Democrats has slipped 11 points in the past month to 75 percent, the lowest of his presidency. On Friday my colleagues in the newsroom reported on a growing backlash against Biden coming from young and left-leaning voters.
Does this mean that standing with Israel could be politically fatal for Biden? I don’t think so, and to understand why, it’s important to understand the core responsibilities of an American president.
In 2012, when I was a partisan supporter of Mitt Romney, there was one message from President Barack Obama’s re-election campaign that I thought made the most succinct and persuasive case for his second term. It was delivered most memorably by then-Vice President Biden, of all people, at the 2012 Democratic National Convention. He said that Obama had “courage in his soul, compassion in his heart and a spine of steel,” and then Biden delivered the key line: “Osama bin Laden is dead, and General Motors is alive.”
There is also a real chance that Trump might not even be on the ballot in every state or that he might have to campaign from jail.
I really doubt Trump has a winning strategy, after losing 2022, 2020 and 2018.
Trump’s winning strategy is a bigger, better and successful Jan 6 that installs him as president.
He won’t have the support of the VP this time (actually, same as last time I suppose!) nor control of the national guard.
Sadly, I fear they will be a lot more willing to hang the VP because oh no, she’s a woman.
Thankfully, we’ve already witnessed january 6th 2021, and I imagine there will be better security, and someone willing to actually call the DC coos or national guard.
Not to mention the popular vote in 2016.