Lee Duna to NewsEnglish • 1 year agoEl Niño could unleash several '10-year flood events' this winter in cities such as Seattle and San Diegowww.livescience.comexternal-linkmessage-square9fedilinkarrow-up178arrow-down15
arrow-up173arrow-down1external-linkEl Niño could unleash several '10-year flood events' this winter in cities such as Seattle and San Diegowww.livescience.comLee Duna to NewsEnglish • 1 year agomessage-square9fedilink
minus-square@foggylink25•1 year agoWe’re going to have to stop calling these floods out for how infrequent they "used* to be. That’s like saying something is on sale for 10% off all the time. It’s not on sale, it’s just the price. Vermont has had 2 “100 year flood” events in the last 15 years.
minus-square@WhatAmLemmylink8•1 year agoGrade them like earthquakes or hurricanes, based on the amount of energy &/or water released.
minus-square@[email protected]linkfedilink3•1 year agoThat’s the way it’s going but it will take some time before it’s mainstream. https://www.usgs.gov/media/images/atmospheric-river-rating-system-chart https://cw3e.ucsd.edu/arscale/
minus-square@[email protected]linkfedilink1•1 year agoA 100 year flood just means a 1% chance, or, in the 99th percentile of intensity. Say we had a coin toss, that’s the 2-year storm. You could easily get 2 or three of those in a row. But you’re correct that the climate is changing, and in many cases the statistics are not applicable to the current climate.
We’re going to have to stop calling these floods out for how infrequent they "used* to be.
That’s like saying something is on sale for 10% off all the time. It’s not on sale, it’s just the price.
Vermont has had 2 “100 year flood” events in the last 15 years.
Grade them like earthquakes or hurricanes, based on the amount of energy &/or water released.
That’s the way it’s going but it will take some time before it’s mainstream.
https://www.usgs.gov/media/images/atmospheric-river-rating-system-chart
https://cw3e.ucsd.edu/arscale/
I vote they be called hyperactive water events
I could get behind excessive water events.
A 100 year flood just means a 1% chance, or, in the 99th percentile of intensity.
Say we had a coin toss, that’s the 2-year storm. You could easily get 2 or three of those in a row.
But you’re correct that the climate is changing, and in many cases the statistics are not applicable to the current climate.