How Popular Does Biden Need to Be to Beat Trump? Not Very.

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How Popular Does Biden Need to Be to Beat Trump? Not Very.

nymag.com

spaceghoti to

politics English • 1 year ago

186

Presiding over an unhappy nation makes reelection hard for any president. But running against Trump makes it easier for Biden.

Given the current state of partisan polarization, it’s unlikely Biden can get majority job approval next year even with the most fortunate set of circumstances. But the good news for him is that he probably doesn’t have to. Job-approval ratings are crucial indicators in a normal presidential reelection cycle that is basically a referendum on the incumbent’s record. Assuming Trump is the Republican nominee, 2024 will not be a normal reelection cycle for three reasons.

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MelodiousFunk
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fedilink
3•1 year ago
Presuming whatever party emerges from the ashes doesn’t manage to still be worse. Which… gestures vaguely at the kind of humanity that gains and keeps power
- starbreaker
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  4•1 year ago
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