Is incumbency really that big an advantage? The circumstances some, Clinton, W. Bush and Obama’s second terms were quite unique and prior to those 3 only 13 others have done the consecutive terms thing. Out of 44.
14 Presidents serving at least 2 terms, FDR elected 4 times, Cleveland having 2 non-consecutive terms, then Nixon was elected twice and removed. McKinley and Lincoln elected twice and assassinated.
That would make a Trump victory significantly more likely. Throwing away incumbent advantage is incredibly stupid if you want to win.
Is incumbency really that big an advantage? The circumstances some, Clinton, W. Bush and Obama’s second terms were quite unique and prior to those 3 only 13 others have done the consecutive terms thing. Out of 44.
I dunno… Two terms seems to be more common than that…
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_presidents_of_the_United_States_by_time_in_office
14 Presidents serving at least 2 terms, FDR elected 4 times, Cleveland having 2 non-consecutive terms, then Nixon was elected twice and removed. McKinley and Lincoln elected twice and assassinated.