Tried to give a good summary:
European politicians continuously restate that EU enlargement is necessary for geopolitical reasons. But they have not yet managed to bring European societies on board to support this view.
A plurality (37%, on average) of the citizens in the six countries surveyed by the ECFR believe that Ukraine should be able to join the EU – and this often includes people who are aware of the negative consequences of such an event. It seems that the emotional support for Ukrainians is still strong and outweighs rational considerations
There is no other way to underline the EU’s commitment to enlargement as a crucial geopolitical choice than to give clear commitments to Ukraine and other candidate countries.
At this week’s summit, it is imperative that leaders do not shy away from alarmist language and tough decisions.They should open negotiations with Ukraine and Moldova, commit to necessary military support in 2024 and declare that the EU will prepare the next budget for enlargement.
The key measure of Ukraines victory, however, will not be the restoration of full control of its territory, but winning control of its future as a European, prosperous and democratic country. The EU is Ukraine’s only chance.
You know who will block that it will pass: Those fringe authoritarian states. It can not be solved. It is actually like asking them “hey, you cool with losing your veto power that you abused in the last decade because you are a russian puppet?”. Orban will never put a knife in his own back by giving up the crippling power he has over the EU. It is all he has.
It is a possibility, but I am not sure about it.
“Hey, you cool losing 5 billion Euros from EU ? If not please approve the reform”, that is how it will be sold to them. And they know that they cannot refuse the money and I am sure enough that they will think that they can use the new voting system to their favour.