Olivia Chow Elected

Update:

The polling stations are now closed. We should have final results in a short time. I’ll try to keep this thread up to date with the preliminary results over this evening.

There are quite a number of candidates (102, I believe!) as such, I will not be listing all of them here. I’ll have links to the official results when they start coming in if you are curious about some of the lesser-known candidates.

RESULTS (Last updated at 11:59PM ET)

Candidate Percent
Chow 37.2%
Bailão 32.5%
Saunders 8.6%
Furey 5.0%
Matlow 4.9%
Hunter 2.9%
Brown 2.6%

You can find the official results here: https://electionresults.toronto.ca/


Here are some of the most recent polls for the top candidates. We’ll see how close to the mark they were tonight.

POLLS

Polling Firm Date Chow Bailão Saunders Matlow Furey Hunter Bradford
Mainstreet June 25 36 30 9 8 8 5 1
Liaison June 25 32 22 15 8 10 5 2
Forum June 23 29 20 15 8 11 5 3
Viewpoints June 19 35 12 16 10 10 6 8
Ipsos June 13 38 12 14 8 7 6 6

METHODOLOGY

Polling Firm Sample Size MOE Method
Mainstreet 1030 3.1% IVR
Liason 1008 3.1% IVR
Forum 1037 3.0% IVR
Viewpoints 1007 N/A Online
Ipsos 1001 N/A Online
  • Vincent St. Pierre
    link
    11 year ago

    Tory miscalculated by leaving his endorsement too late. If folks are grumbling about the result, that’s probably the clearest thing that could’ve moved the dial towards another candidate.