Olivia Chow Elected
Update:
The polling stations are now closed. We should have final results in a short time. I’ll try to keep this thread up to date with the preliminary results over this evening.
There are quite a number of candidates (102, I believe!) as such, I will not be listing all of them here. I’ll have links to the official results when they start coming in if you are curious about some of the lesser-known candidates.
RESULTS (Last updated at 11:59PM ET)
| Candidate | Percent |
|---|---|
| Chow | 37.2% |
| Bailão | 32.5% |
| Saunders | 8.6% |
| Furey | 5.0% |
| Matlow | 4.9% |
| Hunter | 2.9% |
| Brown | 2.6% |
You can find the official results here: https://electionresults.toronto.ca/
Here are some of the most recent polls for the top candidates. We’ll see how close to the mark they were tonight.
POLLS
| Polling Firm | Date | Chow | Bailão | Saunders | Matlow | Furey | Hunter | Bradford |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainstreet | June 25 | 36 | 30 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 1 |
| Liaison | June 25 | 32 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 2 |
| Forum | June 23 | 29 | 20 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 3 |
| Viewpoints | June 19 | 35 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 8 |
| Ipsos | June 13 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
METHODOLOGY
| Polling Firm | Sample Size | MOE | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mainstreet | 1030 | 3.1% | IVR |
| Liason | 1008 | 3.1% | IVR |
| Forum | 1037 | 3.0% | IVR |
| Viewpoints | 1007 | N/A | Online |
| Ipsos | 1001 | N/A | Online |
Tory miscalculated by leaving his endorsement too late. If folks are grumbling about the result, that’s probably the clearest thing that could’ve moved the dial towards another candidate.