• @TropicalDingdong
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    259 months ago

    What if its exponential growth?

    Then we should expect that in ~35 years, 200% of users will be using desktop linux.

      • @agent_flounder
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        29 months ago

        Naw, it just means everyone will have two Linux computers!

        • @A_Random_Idiot
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          49 months ago

          I mean, I currently have 3 linux computers… sooooo…

      • @TropicalDingdong
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        9 months ago

        Ok, fine, I’ll do the actual curve fitting instead of just estimating.

        Eyeballing it, were saying 1% in 2013, 2% in 2021, 3% in 2023?

        Gives us a fit of…

        0.873 * exp(0.118 * x)

        So…

        Correct the equation and solve for x

        x_target = np.log(200 / a) / b

        Calculate the actual year

        year_target = 2013 + x_target

        print(year_target)

        In ~2058 everyone will be using two linux desktops at once.

        • @[email protected]
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          29 months ago

          If you don’t think of the increase in speed of new users as continuing to increase exponentially.

          • @TropicalDingdong
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            19 months ago

            Isn’t that the point of the exponent in the exponential function?

    • @AlecStewart1st
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      29 months ago

      2060 - The True and Definitive Year of the Linux Desktop (maybe, probably not but hopefully)