• AutoTL;DRB
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    28 months ago

    This is the best summary I could come up with:


    “We anticipate a well above-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean,” researchers from the Colorado State University Tropical Meteorology Project said in a 44-page report released on Thursday.

    The Atlantic hurricane season officially starts June 1 and finishes November 30, with most activity occurring between mid-August and mid-October.

    Hurricane activity tends to peak in mid-September, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

    Along the East Coast, including the Florida peninsula, the probability jumped to 34% from 21% – which was the average likelihood from 1880-2020.

    Seasonal forecast predictions are based on statistical and dynamical models that researchers said “can fail in some years.”

    Last year’s water temperatures were also high, and it was a more active hurricane system than average.


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