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We are on track for .5°f per decade. So far, scientists are constantly predicting short. It’s going to be exponential. The tipping point has already past. We see it falling, we just haven’t felt the inertia yet.
The models have a surprisingly good track record at estimating future temperatures based on greenhouse gas concentration scenarios. What they’re not as skillful at is second-order effects and impacts.
Talk to me in a decade.