Summary

NATO’s Military Committee head, Admiral Rob Bauer, stated that NATO troops would likely be in Ukraine countering Russian forces if Russia lacked nuclear weapons.

Speaking at the IISS Prague Defence Summit, Bauer emphasized that Russia’s nuclear arsenal deters direct NATO involvement, contrasting Ukraine’s situation with past NATO interventions in non-nuclear states like Afghanistan.

Although NATO nations provide military aid to Ukraine, direct troop deployment has been avoided, with leaders like U.S. President Biden ruling it out due to nuclear escalation risks highlighted by Russian threats and rhetoric.

  • @captainlezbian
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    182 days ago

    It’s nice to see this war proving that nuclear disarmament is unwise both for peaceful nations wishing to maintain stable borders and for aggressor nations seeking to invade the neighbors who gave up their nukes.

    Like, given Ukrainian history it’s kinda shocking they gave them up, even with all the assurances they were given.

    • @[email protected]
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      71 day ago

      They were barely given any assurances. They were given a pinky promise to be independent, pinky promise to not get nuked and UNSC provided assistance ONLY IF nuclear weapons are used against them.

  • @PugJesus
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    1052 days ago

    Fuck it. If nukes are an excuse to prevent all conventional intervention, then nukes are a free pass to commit any crimes one wishes against non-nuclear powers. Put boots on the ground, or accept nuclear proliferation as a fact of life once countries realize that Ukraine proves that giving up nukes does not result in international support for sovereignty against revanchist states.

    • @[email protected]
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      2 days ago

      If nukes are an excuse to prevent all conventional intervention, then nukes are a free pass to commit any crimes one wishes against non-nuclear powers

      That is the assumption Russia is operating under.

    • @[email protected]
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      372 days ago

      If nukes are an excuse to prevent all conventional intervention, then nukes are a free pass to commit any crimes one wishes against non-nuclear powers.

      Well… yeah.

      • @PugJesus
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        112 days ago

        The easy solution is to show that nukes are not protection against all conventional intervention. We should have given Zelenskyy a no-fly zone back when he asked for one.

          • @PugJesus
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            62 days ago

            Easy as in simple, not easy as in likely or without cost.

          • @[email protected]
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            02 days ago

            Step 1: Put boots on Russian territory

            Step 2: (nuclear) Winter is coming

            Step 3: 💥 profit 💥

            • @[email protected]
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              32 days ago

              Nobody’s saying NATO should invade Russia.

              We’re saying NATO could EASILY establish IADS over the vast majorly of Ukraine to defend their civilian population and infrastructure.

            • Justin
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              02 days ago

              Put up proof that you know this would happen, or stop fear-mongering.

        • azuth
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          -12 days ago

          But they are. Its been settled decades ago.

    • @scarabic
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      62 days ago

      Yeah this is such a losing strategy. All it does is authorize crimes in the short term and drive up nuclear proliferation in the long term.

      Of course, the alternative is a game of chicken with nuclear powers to test the doctrine of mutually assured destruction.

      Still, better to do that now than years from now with the smaller, more radical parties who will by then control nukes, thanks to the nuclear proliferation the current strategy drives.

    • @[email protected]
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      212 days ago

      The only thing that surprises me in geopolitics right now is that Iran is not mass producing nukes yet.

      • @PugJesus
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        92 days ago

        It’s a delicate process, not easy to simply produce a bunch of nuclear weapons. Iran is at the point where they could have a few inside of a year anytime they actually want to trigger that particular international crisis.

      • RubberDuck
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        32 days ago

        The moment they would try to make the last dash to nukes, is the moment the US would be bombing the everlasting shit out of Iran to prevent it.

          • RubberDuck
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            82 days ago

            North Korea was under Chinese protection. This is what Iran likely is trying to do with Russia.

      • NoneOfUrBusiness
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        12 days ago

        They’ve been clear that they don’t do it because they don’t think they’d make Iran more secure.

  • Justin
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    342 days ago
    1. This is not true. Most NATO countries want to avoid fighting on their own soil.

    2. Don’t say things that encourage nuclear proliferation

    • @kerrigan778
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      111 day ago

      Thank goodness an expert is here to swat down the drivel a top NATO Admiral is spewing.

      • Justin
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        01 day ago

        No NATO country has expressed concern about being nuked. This is a question of geopolitics, not military strategy.

        • @LouNeko
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          21 day ago

          Poland? Germany?

      • Justin
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        2 days ago

        My expectation, and something I think shared by most NATO countries, is that the Russian regime would interpret western troops on the front line as a ground invasion of Russia by those countries. Something that would win over the Russian people into supporting an invasion of the bordering countries of Finland, Norway, Poland, and the Baltics.

        Not to say that any no-fly-zone or a tripwire force in Ukraine would lead to Russians running into Narva, but there is still these sorts of non-nuclear escalations that western troops in “annexed” oblasts would likely cause.

        Who knows where the red line is, but a lot of people in the west think it’s located before the point of troops in Donetsk.

        Some game theory about red lines in the Russia-Ukraine war: https://youtu.be/tM0ZTEz7Bzc

  • @Skyrmir
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    292 days ago

    If not for nukes, Poland probably would have rolled Russia by themselves. The rest of NATO could just be emotional support.

    • @ouch
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      11 day ago

      I’m out of the loop. Is Poland considered to have a strong army?

      • @Skyrmir
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        322 hours ago

        Poland’s military is about half again larger than Ukraine prior to the war, large portions of it are very well trained, and their equipment is significantly better. If they decided to march to Moscow, nothing Russia has, short of nukes, would slow them down. And Poland would really like to discuss with them, some of the things that happened in WW2, in an up front and personal way.

    • @[email protected]
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      102 days ago

      If it was just Poland they wouldn’t mind getting nuked if it means getting rid of Moscow. Ironically it’s being in NATO that’s holding them back.

      • @Skyrmir
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        52 days ago

        Very true, and if the nuclear threat goes away, it’ll look like a pack of junk yard dogs let loose on a kitten.

  • Troy
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    242 days ago

    All this shows is that other countries (China, etc.) will have carte blanche if they have nukes. If they don’t, they’ll get them. Imagine a nuclear armed Venezuela going after their neighbours because conventional intervention is too risky suddenly. Blah.

  • @beuatukyang
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    -142 days ago

    So it’s a very good thing Russia has nukes then.

    • @andrewta
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      115 hours ago

      I have to assume there was some sarcasm in there that I’m missing.

    • Flying SquidM
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      2 days ago

      Imagine thinking it’s a “very good thing” that any nation has nuclear weapons. Let alone the 5,580 nuclear warheads in Russia’s stockpile.

      And yes, before you whatabout, I don’t think it’s a “very good thing” that the U.S. has them either. I certainly don’t think it’s a “very good thing” that Israel and North Korea have them.

      I doubt you will, but I would recommend you read this book to find out why it is absolutely not a “very good thing.”

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hiroshima_(book)

    • Diva (she/her)
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      2 days ago

      Rules for life (abbreviated):

      • Never go to a second location

      • Always get the interior ministry post

      • Never get in a helicopter

      • If someone with a gun enters your car, they’re gonna kill you

      • If someone tells you they’re not going to kill you, they’re calming you down to kill you later

      • Never give up your nukes