• @MrTrono
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    891 month ago

    Am I supposed to panic because it’s unlikely to hit? Meanwhile I’m out here wishing for death by meteor.

    • @LouNeko
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      241 month ago

      Yeah I’ll take one for the team. I go to the point of impact and when it finaly hits, I’m gonna try to punch it back into orbit.

      You don’t have to thank me.

      • @[email protected]
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        11 month ago

        Honestly, at this point, there might be enough of us volunteering to bounce that fucker back to Jupiter. A lot of us will be turned into jam but I think it’s worth the sacrifice.

      • @MrTrono
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        030 days ago

        But I’m on team meteor

      • PhobosAnomaly
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        231 month ago

        I mean, if I was going to go out, then getting my shit mixed by a meteor is pretty awesome. I’m sure I’ll make it on to a few Buzzfeed articles over the next ten or twenty years.

        All things considered though, it would indeed be nice if it landed somewhere inconsequential like the ocean; the desert; or Florida.

        • threelonmusketeersOP
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          1 month ago

          Florida

          You jest, but the Kennedy Space Center is in Florida. Putting the world’s busiest spaceport out of commission might put a damper on future asteroid deflection missions…

          • @grue
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            1 month ago

            Eh, they can launch from Vandenburg if it’s that important. (Or, ya know, Guiana or Baikonur or whatever.)

            • @Mirshe
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              21 month ago

              Assuming any foreign space agency will work with NASA now…

        • murmelade
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          01 month ago

          Hell yeah this would be my choice too on preferred way to die. There’s something beautifully deterministic about it, a random space rock flying around for millions of years and all my lifes choices and circumstances ending up in standing on the exact spot the meteorite ends its journey. Right in my head. Lovely.

    • @lordnikon
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      91 month ago

      Not to be a doomer but most of us will be dead by then I just hope the meteor takes out any lucky oligarchs still alive in a bunker.

      • @Omgpwnies
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        91 month ago

        You think “most of us” will be dead in … 7 years? That’s pretty doomer if you ask me.

        • @lordnikon
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          31 month ago

          I just read the ipcc reports and if you read those and don’t start a bucket list for the time we have left. I don’t know what to tell you. Trust me I don’t want to be this way I will fight where I can but I’m going to live my life the same time way a terminal patient lives. Cherish the days we got and if I’m wrong I will eat crow happily with a big smile on my face.

        • @llamacoffee
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          330 days ago

          Very doomer. Does lemmy have a “remind me in 7 years” bot? 😅

  • @[email protected]
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    401 month ago

    To people having panic attacks, it is not large enough to destroy the earth, and we would have plenty of time to evacuate the impact location. Though let’s hope it isn’t anywhere with permafrost.

  • @DarkFuture
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    221 month ago

    Panic?

    I’m crossing my fingers for the wellbeing of the universe. We’re awful.

        • @[email protected]
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          1 month ago

          Forever, humanity could only ever conceivably expand so far due to the expansion of the universe, so as far as we know a still insignificant portion of the universe we could colonize.

          • @[email protected]
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            030 days ago

            Until we make some scientific breakthrough which might solve that problem. If there is any possible of course. There is so much we still don’t know.

  • @Coreidan
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    161 month ago

    I’ll only panic if it misses

  • @[email protected]
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    151 month ago

    Scientists estimate that 2024 YR4 is between 130 to 300 feet (40 and 90 meters) wide, large enough to cause localized devastation near the impact site. The asteroid responsible for the Tunguska event of 1908, which leveled some 500 square miles (1,287 square kilometers) of forest in remote Siberia, was probably about the same size.

    So nothing to worry about

  • @pjwestin
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    151 month ago

    That’s 0.9% more than the last time I checked. I know those are still really low odds, but we can hope…

    • @[email protected]
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      41 month ago

      don’t worry, it’ll just be like a small nuke, not a planet killer… (until they update the size estimates)

    • @[email protected]
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      21 month ago

      One of the things they’re doing is calculating what it’s orbit would have to be to hit the Earth, and where it would have had to have been on its last orbit to be in that orbit

      So they can look at any astronomical images of that part of the sky from then and see if it’s in the right place

      If they find images of the right part of the sky at the right time and the asteroid is not in it, they know it’s not on an orbit that will hit the Earth in 2032

    • @[email protected]
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      25 days ago

      I science podcast I follow already warned last week that the probability would go up at first as they narrow down its trajectory.
      They gave the example of a fan closing, as it gets narrow, the earth represents a bigger percentage of the remaining fan. If you keep closing the fan the Earth eventually will fall outside the fan and the percentage drop to zero.

      Unless it turns out that it is dead center.

  • @[email protected]
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    1 month ago

    Can we launch a satellite at it, perhaps detonate a huge nuke on it to make that chance higher?

    Wait, we could just detonate all those huge nukes right now. Show that stupid asteroid.

    • Jack Hughman
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      51 month ago

      Nuke the far side of the moon and plunge it into earth. Give the asteroid inadequacy issues.

      • threelonmusketeersOP
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        71 month ago

        Wouldn’t detonating on the forward side rather than the zenith side be most effective at lowering the perigee of the moon?

          • Krik
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            41 month ago

            all i remember from my ksp days is add more struts boosters

            Fixed it for you.

            • Jack Hughman
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              31 month ago

              Alas, without the struts, the boosters shall return unto The Lord, leaving thine kerbalnauts Kerbinbound.

          • @[email protected]
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            21 month ago

            Tell me you’ve never played Kerbal Space Program without telling me you’ve never played Kerbal Space Program.