Is this still news?
I like how the first sentence they say the UN chief was ‘publicly attacking’ the oil companies when he’s literally just stating fact lmao
We’ve made our choice, and we’re sticking to it.
5 years left to enjoy:)
This sort of rhetoric is absolutely counter-productive. The human species is obviously not going to get wiped out even with the most extreme climate change scenarios.
Further, the tradeoffs of using fossil fuels are not even close to simple. Energy is wealth, and in a very real sense wealth is both health and quality of life. The whole campaign against fossil fuels frequently seems like the ultra-wealthy trying to consign the entire world middle class to poverty in order to keep polar bears pure (not even to save the species, just to keep them from going south and merging into a grolar bear population).
Okay, let’s cut through the jargon and keep it plain.
First up, your point about humans surviving extreme climate change. Sure, we won’t go extinct, but it’s gonna get messy. Imagine more hurricanes, floods, and wildfires. Plus, food could become scarce with messed up weather patterns. You’re right; it’s not the end of the world. But, it’s also not a picnic.
Next, you mention fossil fuels being tied to wealth and quality of life. Yeah, they’ve helped us a lot in the past. But it’s like running your car on dirty oil; it might keep going, but it’ll break down sooner. Also, let’s not forget, breathing polluted air ain’t great for health.
Your take about the rich trying to push the middle class into poverty to save polar bears seems off the mark. It’s not just about bears and ice. It’s about having a planet that’s comfortable for us to live on. Plus, the worst impacts of climate change and pollution hit poor folks the hardest. It’s not about making people poor; it’s about keeping people alive and healthy.
Lastly, you make it sound like it’s fossil fuels or poverty. That’s not the case. The cost of wind and solar power has plummeted in recent years. We can switch to renewables without making everyone poor. Actually, making the switch could create a lot of jobs and even save us money in the long run. So, it’s not just about hugging trees; it’s about green making green.
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What’s your basis for making those factual claims about the future behavior of complex systems?
I mean, not that complex after a point. Shit’s getting hotter and more intense and it’s the result of human activity. We can either change the activity or accept that it’ll continue to get hotter and more intense.
How much hotter? What concrete harms will result? How much can that be reduced by different levels of reduction in fossil fuel use? What are the harms from that reduction? How do those harms compare? What are the second order effects and their consequences for all of the above?
Now, let’s step back and accept that nobody actually has reliable answers to most of those questions. Further, nobody actually gets to make global policy choices. Even worse, the people who do make national policy choices don’t seem to make those choices based on collecting the best data and then rationally trying to serve the public interest.
Nether the “humanity will die” and “climate change isn’t real” claims are honest attempts to accurately predict the future. They are strategic attempts to influence public perception in a way that is hoped to lead to specific kinds of policy choice that benefit coalitions of special interests at the expense of most of humanity. Most people would be significantly better off if neither of those buckets of policies were implemented.
I legitimately believe that you’ve prompted chatgpt to craft a response that is vapid and devoid of any particular conviction, and then just cut and pasted that response here.
So what do you suggest we do? Nothing?
I suggest we try to promote real quantitative analyses over kneejerk support for authoritarianism.
That does not answer my question. In fact, it says absolutely nothing at all.
We can’t “prove” or accurately predict anything so l let’s just keep shitting where we eat. Solid logic
The oil companies (at the very least Exxon) knew it decades ago. The only reason there’s a “debate” is to keep the business pumping profits.
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/exxon-knew-about-climate-change-almost-40-years-ago/
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/jan/12/exxon-climate-change-global-warming-research
Human species, maybe not. Human technical civilization and horrific population decline? Yes, it is absolutely possible to wipe ourselves out.
A few million humans can probably survive huddled together near the poles, but for the billions that will die that’s not really distinguishable from human extinction.
Do you honestly think that’s a likely scenario?
How would you describe your prediction in relation to the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum?
Was the Paleocene era caused by industrial revolution? Oh wait… No it wasn’t.
We face dangers beyond simple climate change.
The ocean wasn’t full of plastic during the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum. There wasn’t already a mass extinction underway before the climate shifted. The forests hadn’t been chopped down, the oceans hadn’t been overfished, the land hadn’t been paved with concrete and asphalt. There weren’t nuclear power plants that will melt down if they aren’t properly decommissioned after their cooling reservoirs dry up, and there weren’t nuclear weapons that will be fired off in the death throes of civilization.
Climate change is destabilizing, and that means everything else becomes much more dangerous too.
You are so ignorant that I’m not even gonna try to explain why
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You would be right. If the government were to never get involved. “It’ll take decades for the whole country to prepare for nuclear fallout” “It’ll take decades for the country to protect itself from HIV” etc. etc. Every public health crisis needs to the government to get involved and mediate, that’s what civilization has been since the time of the Greeks.
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The government’s interest is protecting it’s own citizens. If their has to be loss in profits for oil companies than so be it. Also you’re implying that the first to go off Diesel would be the supply line when obviously not. It would be power grids, the army then consumer cars than the supply chain. Do you think that any one with a functioning brain would try to make the supply lines go green first? You’re just doing a strawman.
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Your trains use diesel? Tf? I’m pretty sure almost all trains these days run on electricity.
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Electing new politicians who say they will push for implementation of more sustainable energy and for companies to bear the burden of the full lifecycle of the products they produce (the world’s ICE vehicles won’t just disappear unless someone is made to properly recycle them) is a long term strategy typically only available as an option every 3 or 4 years.
Another strategy is to hound your current politicians to push for these things. Find your representative(s) and start bombarding them with letters outlining how you want them to vote and why. Why wait for the election cycle to come round when the current representatives are already in and deciding things.
Maybe we could start a Lemmy community/KBin magazine etc and start finding like minded individuals who are keen to do the same. We could use it to host a repository of well written letter templates that outline specific issues while not making the people sound like nutbags and a set of guides for different jurisdictions and tiers of government in different countries.
Also car use in general needs to go down, electric or not single or small occupancy vehicles are not sustainable. We need yo make every effort available to make life less dependent on them.
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EVs tend to beat internal combustion cars even when the electricity comes entirely from fossil fuels, since the big power plants tend to be able to convert heat to electricity much more efficiently than a car engine can. But we don’t get all our power from fossil fuels these days – renewables, nuclear, and hydroelectric are all producing a significant portion. Depending on where you are it might be about half fossil fuels on average, but with huge regional variation.
We do need to transition away from fossil fuel power generation, but that’s a thing we can do in parallel to replacing our vehicle fleet.
(We also need to drive a lot less and use smaller vehicles on average, but that’s another topic.)
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Ahh you’re already wrong on that one. Sorry
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i would if i could.
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I think the counter-point is that you owe it to yourself to do everything in your power, or to do everything you find reasonable, to combat climate change anyway - even if things won’t change immediately. Maybe a new car isn’t immediately affordable, but a solar panel to power your electronics most certainly is. Or you could start recycling, or grow a low-water-usage or pollinator-friendly garden. But most importantly, vote for politicians that give a fuck about the environment.
And we are not going to be saved by electric vehicles either. More trains an bikes, less asphalt. Then, maybe.
Something like 20% of GHG emissions are from concrete, and we have 0 replacement for that when it comes to building apartments.
