The plummeting poll numbers for Justin Trudeau and the federal Liberals might not seem as dire if Canada had adopted a new voting system.

  • @[email protected]
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    5410 months ago

    The problem is that, should they implement electoral reform, it would mean no more Liberal majorities ever.

    They’re okay with swapping seats with the Conservatives every few years, but having to cooperate with the NDP every day forever, and dragging Canadian politics leftward to meet the actual needs of the electorate, is a non-starter for the Calgary and Laurentian cheque-writers that underpin both the LPC and CPC.

    • @[email protected]
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      1510 months ago

      I suspect it would result in permanent minorities, and the growth of smaller, more local parties. I’m no political scientist, but as far as I can tell, formalized political parties are just magnets for corruption and consolidation of power that’s for sale to anyone with a fistfull of disposable cash.

    • @Altofaltception
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      1010 months ago

      Bingo. The LPC and the CPC are two sides of the same neoliberal coin.

      For all the people arguing for a third party option in the US, this is why it won’t work. The two main parties will be happy to trade roles every few years and maintain the overall status quo.

      • Funderpants
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        410 months ago

        This isn’t true at all. Liberals are much closer to social democrats than they are to fiscal and social conservatism.

          • Funderpants
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            10 months ago

            No, the Liberal Party is fiscally liberal, not fiscally conservative. While both philosophies think a market economy is the best economic system, a fiscal liberal is more inclined to use fiscal policy to intervene in that market economy to rectify social or economic inequalities. This would be entirely counter to fiscal conservatism.

            For example, a fiscal liberal will support a public health system, a public broadcaster, $10 a day childcare, and EV / electrification/greening grants.

            A fiscal conservative will be more laissez faire, and not want any of those things.

            I bring this up because by not recognizing the difference we set ourselves up to put conservatives back into power, after all , “both sides same”.

            Now social democrats (of which many in the NDP are) tend towards mixed-economy, social-liberalism. This philosophy contains the main body of New Democrats and a contingent of LPC (the left-liberals, social liberals). It’s why we can see progress on nationalized programs under LPC-NDP governments. The NDP has a true democratic socialist rump too, but they have much fewer areas of true overlap with Liberal philosophy.

            • @[email protected]
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              10 months ago

              Public health/daycare

              NDP

              public broadcaster

              Cons want this as well, but they want it to favour them

              EV / electrification/greening grants.

              Cons give grants to oil/gas, you’re confusing energy grants (economic) with climate change (social)

                • @[email protected]
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                  210 months ago

                  They want to talk about abolishing the CBC, but if they did they’d lose their whipping boy. If they really cared, they’d also be talking about defunding RCI, but they’re too chickenshit to take that on because Quebecois conservatives like it, while their Alberta base hates the CBC because…reasons.

              • Funderpants
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                210 months ago

                No, I’m not confused. You seem married to some fairly unsophisticated ideas about political philosophy, and I’m no divorce lawyer. Sorry to waste your time.

                • @[email protected]
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                  110 months ago

                  Your argument of giving grants to energy sure

                  But then the Cons also give grants to energy

                  So if you want to say they are both fiscally liberal then youve made a point but I think it is meaningless

            • @[email protected]
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              210 months ago

              This would be entirely counter to fiscal conservatism

              Good thing that the Conservatives and Liberals are both…neoliberals, then.

    • @[email protected]
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      810 months ago

      Most governments have formed with a minority for the past couple of decades. It’s already the reality.

      But you’re right that they wouldn’t want to formalize it.

      • @[email protected]
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        10 months ago

        There’s a difference between “formed with a minority” and “no chance at a majority ever again”.

        The LPC (and CPC) are quite happy with the current system. The LPC would accept AFV or ranked-ballot, but only because they’re everyone’s second choice, where the Conservatives are the first choice of ~35% of the population, but almost no one’s second.

    • Kbin_space_program
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      -1010 months ago

      The NDP aren’t left wing anymore under silver-spoon Jagmeet. Dude’s just another trust fund baby like Trudeau.

        • @[email protected]
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          910 months ago

          The NDP are certainly not bold enough or left enough for my liking but to say they’re not left wing at all is disingenuous

          • @[email protected]
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            410 months ago

            They’re not very left-wing by objective standards, or compared to their roots, but by modern, Overton-window-has-shifted-to-the-right standards they’re left-wing.

            But there’s a grain of truth in what the parent is saying: if you cost out the platforms of Jagmeet Singh or Andrea Horwath from the last elections, you’ll find they’re less economically liberal than Brian Mulroney or Mike Harris.

      • Pxtl
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        710 months ago

        I have trouble believing that petition matters since it reads like business as usual for the CPC. The only thing that stands out is that it doesn’t specifically call out the carbon tax.

        • @[email protected]
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          310 months ago

          Lol, true. I was just concerned as it has a lot of signers. (But maybe they’ve been doing these monthly, I have no idea.)

    • Funderpants
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      10 months ago

      My wonderful internet acquaintance , the NDP are a big part of why the electoral reform change never happened. Unpopular opinion time: The CPC, NDP and GPC deserve every bit as much blame, if not more, for the failure to move away from fptp. Why? They banded together in committee to poison any hope of getting electoral reform past the Senate or even the house. Trudeau , naively I think, promised to do things differently from Harper. True to his promise he balanced the electoral reform house committee by popular vote, instead of using his majority power. This meant that the opposition parties could outvote the liberals in committee and, seemingly forgotten by everyone, the opposition parties welded that power to deliver a complete nonsensical , posion pill filled committee report / reccomendation to the house which had no real chance of passing. That document, a worst of all ideas document if I ever saw it, threw out all ideas put forward by the LPC (the majority in the house, who had a free vote on this) instead favoring CPC demands for a referendum, NDP demands for a vague and nonspecific system that wasn’t STV, but was proportional. The GPC and Bloc got in on it, and passed this report that had no chance , none, of passing the house. Even if it had passed the house it wouldn’t have got past the Senate and the committee delayed their report so long nothing could be done before the next election.

      I know parliamentary procedure is boring, and most people don’t follow it, but I do and I saw what happened here. The LPC failure was only in so far as they didn’t just stomp all over the opposition to impose their changes. The LPC acted in good faith instead and got politiked so bad people still blame them, reducing the whole thing down to “Trudeau break promise”.

  • @[email protected]
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    1410 months ago

    Here’s the thing: he could still pass it.

    The NDP would support it, as would the Bloc and Greens. Hell, the PPC would, too. He could just ram it through. Easy-peasy-lemon-squeezy. He has the time left in his mandate.

    The problem that the the Liberal Party doesn’t want it because it would mean no more Liberal majorities. No Conservative ones, either.

    If you go back through electoral history, you have to go back to 1984 to find a party that won a majority. Before that, you have to go back to 1958. It’s a little more common before that, but still the exception.

    Do we really think the Big Red or Big Blue machines will abandon the system that gives them majority rule without a majority vote share? Fuck, no they won’t. Adolf Hitler himself could be running as CPC leader (or Josef Stalin vs the Cons, take your pick) and at risk of winning and they’d still avoid electoral reform because it would mean they’d be one party among many, and thusly less important to the donor class, than they are now.

    • @[email protected]
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      410 months ago

      The problem that the the Liberal Party doesn’t want it because it would mean no more Liberal majorities. No Conservative ones, either.

      Ranked-choice only gives majorities. One of the problems with it is that it kills what gave us almost everything we’re happy about as Canadians: minority governments need buy-in at all stages and have to work together with party of similar views, and that’s how we got healthcare and peacekeeping and now dental care.

      • @Omgpwnies
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        410 months ago

        uhh… no? We would keep the parliamentary system that we currently have, but the riding level elections would be ranked choice (or some other method) vs FPTP. It would actually lead to more minority and coalition governments as smaller parties would be able to have more representation in parliament.

  • @[email protected]
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    10 months ago

    I don’t know if they would ever consider it, but they could split ridings with the NDP, so there would be a single main left-wing candidate in each. They could basically guarantee a win with even a few of those.

    Proportional rep would be great. Still pissed that Trudeau just completely lied about that. If we do go there we should do what Norway does, where there’s no snap elections, to avoid coalition instability problems.

    • Anony Moose
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      510 months ago

      Going back on representational voting is what made me decide never to vote for the Liberals while Trudeau was in power again. I’m still pissed about that.

    • @[email protected]
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      010 months ago

      You’re mistaken in thinking the Liberals, or the NDP for that matter, care about advancing causes. They don’t. They care about getting elected.

      They aren’t interested in teaming up because that puts policy ahead of party, and the apparatchiks in both parties don’t want that. Especially the Liberals: they’d rather go down in flames than risk losing political leverage by forming a coalition. They saw, quite clearly, what happened to the Progressive Conservatives when they merged with Reform.

      • @[email protected]
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        110 months ago

        You’re mistaken in thinking the Liberals, or the NDP for that matter, care about advancing causes. They don’t. They care about getting elected.

        As a registered member of one of those parties, I actually do. However, when it comes to the politicians, you’re either partly or completely right. Getting elected butters their bread, caring about the issues is optional, although at least some do as a hobby.

        As for professional staffers, I don’t have as much experience. Mostly they just seem very busy when I interact with them.

        Especially the Liberals: they’d rather go down in flames than risk losing political leverage by forming a coalition.

        I mean, the Liberals have been in a not-technically-a-coalition with the NDP for some time now. Some of them don’t seem to like it (of course, having all the power would be better for them personally), but from the outside it seems to be going well.

        They saw, quite clearly, what happened to the Progressive Conservatives when they merged with Reform.

        They continued being a highly relevant political party?

      • @[email protected]
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        010 months ago

        They care about getting elected.

        Psst. When you’re done “both sides” -ing the issue, I bet you can find one of the two that is better than the other and cares more about Canadian happiness.

        Vote for them. Then it’s a win for them (election)and a win for us (least-worse party in power). If everyone did that, there’d be no blue left.

        You see how your both-sides assertion isn’t even relevant?

        • @[email protected]
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          210 months ago

          I do that. I do vote NDP. Every election except 2015, when I voted Liberal on the electoral-reform promise. Shame on me.

          What I won’t say that I’m happy doing it, and it doesn’t mean I don’t get to criticize the NDP for putting party ahead of the electorate. I said it about Layton teaming up with Harper, I said it about Mulcair getting flanked by Trudeau, and I’ll say it about Singh’s unwillingness to really step up and own the socialist label.

          It’s not “both sides’ing” when you wish your team did better.

        • @[email protected]
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          110 months ago

          If everyone did that, there’d be no blue left.

          My riding would still be very, very blue.

          At this point the main difference between Liberals and NDP is style, as far as I’m concerned. I’d vote for either, or the Greens if that ever came up.

  • Pxtl
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    810 months ago

    I was thinking it’s not too late but the Bloc would never support a system with PR outcomes since it’s the FPTP system that gives regional-intense groups like them outsized power.

    A shame. I still insist that a regional-based open-list MMP would be the ideal fit for Canada.

  • @rickdg
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    -810 months ago

    It’s tru deau.