This is the first poll taken after the conviction, and has us at 41% Biden/39% Trump

Actual voting preferences differ only slightly from one the same pollster took in early May, which had us at 35% Biden/36% Trump.

Having a solid sense of how the conviction will impact things will likely take a week or so as news percolates and people talk.

I’ll also note that these to polls are polls of adults, which tend to favor Trump by a little bit more than polls of registered voters or of likely voters.

Archived copies of the article: archive.today ghostarchive.org

  • themeatbridge
    56•6 months ago

    Conservatives don’t have an ideology, they have an identity. The in-group gets protected, and the out-grouo gets attacked. Anyone that was alive in 2016 and still supports Trump has latched onto Trump as the identity of the conservative party. Trump is good, and they are good by association. It’s not that what he says is good, or what he wants is good. He is good, which means anything he wants must be good, and anything he says must be good. Anything to support him is good, and anything that is bad for Trump must be bad, because he is good.

    So if Trump is convicted of a crime, it must be a set up, an evil plot, a conspiracy to frame him for something he definitely did because it was a good idea because it was his idea to do it.

    I’m honestly surprised it’s as high as 1 in 10. I suppose there might be that many liars among Trump supporters who were too embarrassed to admit to a pollster they still love him.

    • @[email protected]
      13•6 months ago

      It’s probably just people who aren’t paying attention. You are correct in your analysis of the average trump supporter, but they are not a monolith. Some people can be swayed because they literally don’t watch the news.