As much as it shouldn’t matter and makes them nothing…
It probably matters. It’s still an “old boys club” especially for Biden. Up until a year or two ago he wouldn’t shut up about how much he misses hanging out with republicans. Like his old buddy and infamous racist Strom Thurmond or Mitch McTurtle.
Look, I don’t like Biden, either, but unless you have a name of a candidate we’re all supposed to rally behind an elect via acclamation at the convention, what’s the point in attacking the presumptive nominee?
You asked literally the same question, and I responded with this:
You and everyone else willing to vote for Biden, will vote for any Dem.
Some people don’t want trump, but won’t vote Biden.
There exist other politicians who can be the Dem nominee.
Conclusion: Sticking with Biden, becomes the worst chance at beating trump.
Don’t worry about anything else, just look at that logic.
Can you find any flaw in it?
But just so you don’t keep asking:
I’m curious, though, who is your candidate?
AOC
But again. All we’re talking about who can beat Trump. And if that logic up there isn’t something you disagree with, let me know. Just stripping this all down to a pure logic thing.
There are actual congress-people talking about a mini primary for Democrats, and that by having something like that right now is going to dominate national news for the party, which right before an election is really good thing. Democrats could even spin it as “We’re listening to you-- you want a younger candidate? We’re gonna give you one,” rather than “We are in complete disarray regarding this upcoming election.” Regardless, whichever nominee makes it out of those is going to have plenty of name recognition by the end of it.
This is not a ridiculous or far-fetched notion, it is being spit-balled right now by congresspeople. Everything hinges on Biden, so we’ll just have to see how his polls look like next week, if any other major voices join in the calls for him to step aside, and how the crises meetings in Congress go.
But Im not sure how people downvoting you are so confident in Biden or why they’re so baffled about this whole thing. Like, “Who’s could possibly be the nominee of it’s not Biden?” Oh I dunno, one of the 15 names national news outlets have been proposing for the last week?
Not really. The DNC is a private non government organization that can do whatever they want
They could say they’re putting Taylor Swift on the ballot, and I don’t even think they need their candidates permission.
They just won’t choose to boot Biden if he doesn’t drop.
I believe the distinction is important.
But Im not sure how people downvoting you are so confident in Biden or why they’re so baffled about this whole thing.
Yeah, at this point I just saved that comment with the logic broken down, and that’s what I’m using when I get asked “BuT wHo?”. Because fuck, I get asked that a lot.
That account didn’t reply last night, asked the same fucking question less than 12 hours later… And isn’t going to answer now either.
Because there is literally no logical reason for Biden to be the candidate.
What I think, is they only care about 100% support to Israel. trump isn’t reliable enough, and if Russia gets pulled in by the 4+1 treaty…
I don’t know how anyone could think trump would side with Israel over Russia. He’d turn on Israel and Ukraine both in a heartbeat.
Israel is the only logical reason someone would insist on Biden, they just know if they said it, it would just hurt Biden more. So they can’t give a single valid reason for their insistence in Biden.
It does matter if Biden decides to stay in. It makes it far less likely the DNC is able to replace him, because the delegates are already pledged to him, and as far as I understand, in order to replace him they’d need a clear alternative singular candidate to nominate. Plus, they’d need to stop Biden from reviewing and selecting a loyal slate of delegates from each state who will certainly vote for him. It’d be much much more likely if Biden steps down and himself calls for a 5 or 6 week primary. My source, if you want to check it out. There’s a chance I’m misinterpreting but I think that’s the jist of it.
As for those people rigorously defending Biden, I don’t necessarily think they’re automatically pro-Israel. They’re scared, for sure, as we all are. And they’ve probably bought some of, if not all, the Democratic posturing that Biden is just fine, and other writers’ sentiments that doing something like changing the nominee last-minute will be a disaster because it is unprecedented, and so they double down. Like a superfan in sports who is in complete denial that their team has a glaring weakness and probably won’t make it out of the playoffs. You see it all the time. I won’t ever hold it against those people, because it’s easy to be in that state, especially if you love your team. Plus, if you logic it out with them, sometimes they come around and end up seeing the roster change was actually needed. I don’t think deriding them gives them a chance to see your side.
As in, they’d all have to come to a consensus on one candidate other than Biden, and that’s just not a likely thing to happen without Biden stepping aside voluntarily.
I just don’t see the DNC changing rules to choose someone besides Biden, even if that is technically possible. I could see them adding rules for what happens to delegates if a presumptive nominee steps aside before the convention. But hey, I’m a regular person who read a single article on DNC rules and listens to NPR Politics Podcast. Those kinds of analyses aren’t going to delve too far into the, “well, what if the DNC changes the rules, holds a mini primary without Biden, etc, etc.” because they either think they aren’t likely, or because it is simply too early to tell which way things will move as of today.
Psst: a “mini-primary” is just an election among DNC delegates. You know, the thing they have to do anyway. And 99% of those delegates were named by Biden’s campaign, and will do what he directs them to do.
It might generate a televised debate, but all that will do is show off the back bench of the party for 2032 (or 2028 if Harris loses). If Biden backs out, Harris will be the nominee, and no amount of Progressive whining will change that.
Moderate Democrats are like vegetables, nobody really looks forward to them but they give you energy to fight Fascism. Eat your peas!
I think it’s likely Harris would be the nominee if Biden stepped aside, unless they are spooked by her polls, as well. But that is a lot of ifs, and really doesn’t bear much weight on the likelihood as I see it (and hate it) of Biden staying in the race and losing to Trump.
But yeah, that’s why it mostly hinges on Biden, because the DNC has rules in place to protect the presumptive nominee from a delegate mutiny.
And 99% of those delegates were named by Biden’s campaign
Biden personally nominated the DNC chair and appoints 47 (maybe 77?) voting seats, then the DNC votes to confirm the chair the incoming president appointed.
And there’s around 470 voting positions in the DNC.
So, Biden isn’t appointing the majority. But the vast majority are establishment Dems who agree with Biden 100% and would rather see trump as president than progressive leadership of the DNC.
If Biden backs out, Harris will be the nominee, and no amount of Progressive whining will change that.
Bruh…
In 2012 progressives voted for Obama despite him not being as progressive as he campaigned in 08…
In 2016 progressives held their noses and voted Clinton…
In 2020 we held our noses and voted for Biden…
In 2024 progressives will largely show up and vote D, whether it’s Biden, Harris, or anyone else. Just like what has been happening for decades.
What progressives have been screaming since 2019 is that Biden isnt really popular and he isn’t our best shot to stop trump. And we need to run our best bet that we’ve been saying since 2015.
The problem is moderates decided on Biden, and they’re used to always getting exactly what they want. That’s why they fight against Kamala so hard despite like 99% of her and Biden’s domestic policy likely being identical.
Moderates will still get what they want, they’re just not used to any kind of compromise inside the Dem party.
When people say Biden can’t win, were talking about the “non party” voters that allowed Biden to squeak thru last year. People that just “stay out of” politics and are the entire reason political campaign exist and Biden needs billions of dollars to beat Trump.
But instead of talking about how to get those votes like responsible adults, moderates just want a slap fight and for everyone to shut up and vote as told.
The big issue is, no metrics or data looks like Biden will win. I don’t think a president has ever been elected with an approval rating as low as Biden.
I don’t think you understand just how bad a 34% approval rating is for an incumbent…
You’re missing my point entirely. The party is not going to move further left all of a sudden. Moderates get what they want because there are more of them in the party, and also the the mythical “Swing Voter” who prophecies say will swing the election will be a moderate, once we find one.
And this “mini-primary” is not really what you think it is, the delegates to the convention are already set and pledged to Biden (for now). Those delegates will be voting on the nominee, who will either be Biden or his hand-picked successor. Those delegates will not vote for Mayor Pete or AOC, no matter how badly progressives want it.
Biden’s candidacy is not in jeopardy because of his moderate policies, it’s because time has caught up with him. If he backs out, his replacement will not be any less moderate. Get over it. There will be no progressive White Knight to sweep the country out of the Jaws of Capitalism.
You know that it’s gotten bad when the GOP has adopted Dark Helmet’s platform.
Yeah, but we’re talking American politics.
As much as it shouldn’t matter and makes them nothing…
It probably matters. It’s still an “old boys club” especially for Biden. Up until a year or two ago he wouldn’t shut up about how much he misses hanging out with republicans. Like his old buddy and infamous racist Strom Thurmond or Mitch McTurtle.
Look, I don’t like Biden, either, but unless you have a name of a candidate we’re all supposed to rally behind an elect via acclamation at the convention, what’s the point in attacking the presumptive nominee?
Same thing I told you last night bro.
You asked literally the same question, and I responded with this:
Conclusion: Sticking with Biden, becomes the worst chance at beating trump.
Don’t worry about anything else, just look at that logic.
Can you find any flaw in it?
But just so you don’t keep asking:
AOC
But again. All we’re talking about who can beat Trump. And if that logic up there isn’t something you disagree with, let me know. Just stripping this all down to a pure logic thing.
I’m optimistic this will work.
There are actual congress-people talking about a mini primary for Democrats, and that by having something like that right now is going to dominate national news for the party, which right before an election is really good thing. Democrats could even spin it as “We’re listening to you-- you want a younger candidate? We’re gonna give you one,” rather than “We are in complete disarray regarding this upcoming election.” Regardless, whichever nominee makes it out of those is going to have plenty of name recognition by the end of it.
This is not a ridiculous or far-fetched notion, it is being spit-balled right now by congresspeople. Everything hinges on Biden, so we’ll just have to see how his polls look like next week, if any other major voices join in the calls for him to step aside, and how the crises meetings in Congress go.
But Im not sure how people downvoting you are so confident in Biden or why they’re so baffled about this whole thing. Like, “Who’s could possibly be the nominee of it’s not Biden?” Oh I dunno, one of the 15 names national news outlets have been proposing for the last week?
Not really. The DNC is a private non government organization that can do whatever they want
They could say they’re putting Taylor Swift on the ballot, and I don’t even think they need their candidates permission.
They just won’t choose to boot Biden if he doesn’t drop.
I believe the distinction is important.
Yeah, at this point I just saved that comment with the logic broken down, and that’s what I’m using when I get asked “BuT wHo?”. Because fuck, I get asked that a lot.
That account didn’t reply last night, asked the same fucking question less than 12 hours later… And isn’t going to answer now either.
Because there is literally no logical reason for Biden to be the candidate.
What I think, is they only care about 100% support to Israel. trump isn’t reliable enough, and if Russia gets pulled in by the 4+1 treaty…
I don’t know how anyone could think trump would side with Israel over Russia. He’d turn on Israel and Ukraine both in a heartbeat.
Israel is the only logical reason someone would insist on Biden, they just know if they said it, it would just hurt Biden more. So they can’t give a single valid reason for their insistence in Biden.
It does matter if Biden decides to stay in. It makes it far less likely the DNC is able to replace him, because the delegates are already pledged to him, and as far as I understand, in order to replace him they’d need a clear alternative singular candidate to nominate. Plus, they’d need to stop Biden from reviewing and selecting a loyal slate of delegates from each state who will certainly vote for him. It’d be much much more likely if Biden steps down and himself calls for a 5 or 6 week primary. My source, if you want to check it out. There’s a chance I’m misinterpreting but I think that’s the jist of it.
As for those people rigorously defending Biden, I don’t necessarily think they’re automatically pro-Israel. They’re scared, for sure, as we all are. And they’ve probably bought some of, if not all, the Democratic posturing that Biden is just fine, and other writers’ sentiments that doing something like changing the nominee last-minute will be a disaster because it is unprecedented, and so they double down. Like a superfan in sports who is in complete denial that their team has a glaring weakness and probably won’t make it out of the playoffs. You see it all the time. I won’t ever hold it against those people, because it’s easy to be in that state, especially if you love your team. Plus, if you logic it out with them, sometimes they come around and end up seeing the roster change was actually needed. I don’t think deriding them gives them a chance to see your side.
What?
Obviously at the end of the day they’d need to nominate one person as the candidate.
The DNC can come up with that name themselves, they can do a primary/survey/whatever for voter input or not.
But yes, eventually they have to name a candidate regardless of if that’s Biden or not.
Delegates may be pledged, and current rules may say they need to vote for who they’re pledged to.
But the DNC can just change that rule this afternoon if they wanted to.
As in, they’d all have to come to a consensus on one candidate other than Biden, and that’s just not a likely thing to happen without Biden stepping aside voluntarily.
I just don’t see the DNC changing rules to choose someone besides Biden, even if that is technically possible. I could see them adding rules for what happens to delegates if a presumptive nominee steps aside before the convention. But hey, I’m a regular person who read a single article on DNC rules and listens to NPR Politics Podcast. Those kinds of analyses aren’t going to delve too far into the, “well, what if the DNC changes the rules, holds a mini primary without Biden, etc, etc.” because they either think they aren’t likely, or because it is simply too early to tell which way things will move as of today.
Psst: a “mini-primary” is just an election among DNC delegates. You know, the thing they have to do anyway. And 99% of those delegates were named by Biden’s campaign, and will do what he directs them to do.
It might generate a televised debate, but all that will do is show off the back bench of the party for 2032 (or 2028 if Harris loses). If Biden backs out, Harris will be the nominee, and no amount of Progressive whining will change that.
Moderate Democrats are like vegetables, nobody really looks forward to them but they give you energy to fight Fascism. Eat your peas!
I think it’s likely Harris would be the nominee if Biden stepped aside, unless they are spooked by her polls, as well. But that is a lot of ifs, and really doesn’t bear much weight on the likelihood as I see it (and hate it) of Biden staying in the race and losing to Trump.
But yeah, that’s why it mostly hinges on Biden, because the DNC has rules in place to protect the presumptive nominee from a delegate mutiny.
Biden personally nominated the DNC chair and appoints 47 (maybe 77?) voting seats, then the DNC votes to confirm the chair the incoming president appointed.
And there’s around 470 voting positions in the DNC.
So, Biden isn’t appointing the majority. But the vast majority are establishment Dems who agree with Biden 100% and would rather see trump as president than progressive leadership of the DNC.
Bruh…
In 2012 progressives voted for Obama despite him not being as progressive as he campaigned in 08…
In 2016 progressives held their noses and voted Clinton…
In 2020 we held our noses and voted for Biden…
In 2024 progressives will largely show up and vote D, whether it’s Biden, Harris, or anyone else. Just like what has been happening for decades.
What progressives have been screaming since 2019 is that Biden isnt really popular and he isn’t our best shot to stop trump. And we need to run our best bet that we’ve been saying since 2015.
The problem is moderates decided on Biden, and they’re used to always getting exactly what they want. That’s why they fight against Kamala so hard despite like 99% of her and Biden’s domestic policy likely being identical.
Moderates will still get what they want, they’re just not used to any kind of compromise inside the Dem party.
When people say Biden can’t win, were talking about the “non party” voters that allowed Biden to squeak thru last year. People that just “stay out of” politics and are the entire reason political campaign exist and Biden needs billions of dollars to beat Trump.
But instead of talking about how to get those votes like responsible adults, moderates just want a slap fight and for everyone to shut up and vote as told.
The big issue is, no metrics or data looks like Biden will win. I don’t think a president has ever been elected with an approval rating as low as Biden.
I don’t think you understand just how bad a 34% approval rating is for an incumbent…
You’re missing my point entirely. The party is not going to move further left all of a sudden. Moderates get what they want because there are more of them in the party, and also the the mythical “Swing Voter” who prophecies say will swing the election will be a moderate, once we find one.
And this “mini-primary” is not really what you think it is, the delegates to the convention are already set and pledged to Biden (for now). Those delegates will be voting on the nominee, who will either be Biden or his hand-picked successor. Those delegates will not vote for Mayor Pete or AOC, no matter how badly progressives want it.
Biden’s candidacy is not in jeopardy because of his moderate policies, it’s because time has caught up with him. If he backs out, his replacement will not be any less moderate. Get over it. There will be no progressive White Knight to sweep the country out of the Jaws of Capitalism.
I agree with that, and no one is saying any differently…
They should to maximize chances to beat Trump. But we all know that’s not the priority