“Lichtman has correctly predicted the outcome of almost every election over the last half-century, except for the race in 2000, in which Republican George W. Bush defeated Democrat Al Gore.”
Lichtman argues he was right in 2000 because his system predicted the popular vote winner, but that means in 2016 he was wrong because Trump didn’t win the popular vote. He then tried to say the keys are now about predicting the electoral college winner, but there wasn’t any change in the keys. He’s just trying to redefine his targets to say he was right after the fact.
“Lichtman has correctly predicted the outcome of almost every election over the last half-century, except for the race in 2000, in which Republican George W. Bush defeated Democrat Al Gore.”
In which Gore actually did win:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2001/jan/29/uselections2000.usa
Lichtman argues he was right in 2000 because his system predicted the popular vote winner, but that means in 2016 he was wrong because Trump didn’t win the popular vote. He then tried to say the keys are now about predicting the electoral college winner, but there wasn’t any change in the keys. He’s just trying to redefine his targets to say he was right after the fact.