It has been said a gazillion times over the last few months, but is it getting through to those who need to hear it?

  • voiceofchris
    link
    13 hours ago

    The only possible conclusion from your own data is that every non-Democrat voter who disapproves of Trump is three Republicans who disapprove of Trump.

    And? Do you think that there is a flaw in the data? Do you distrust the source? Do you interpret it another way that you’d care to share. Do you think that 538 is an unreliable source? Do you have any polls, data, sources … literally anything that shows a different understanding of the situation?

    Are you dismissing my entire stance outright because two different meta-analysis polls don’t perfectly total to 100%? Because, that’s not how polling works.

    Here’s another all-voter unfavorability poll with similar results.

    https://news.gallup.com/poll/650774/favorable-ratings-harris-trump-remain.aspx

    Here’s one that shows only 9% of Republicans (4.3% of all voters) with an unfavorable view of Trump. That’s a tighter margin for me to work with to try to state that Republicans account for more than 2% of the 3.5% of all voters who view Trump disfavorably, but still mathematically sound. In fact, since you are insisting that the percentages add up perfectly across two separate meta-analysis polls this smaller percentage of unfavorably voting Republicans actually helps my case.

    But guess what? None of that really matters because this same poll shows that a significantly higher percentage of independents favor Trump over Harris (44% vs 35%). Which is a direct measure of the question at hand.

    https://news.gallup.com/poll/650774/favorable-ratings-harris-trump-remain.aspx