@return2ozma to [email protected] • 22 hours agoWhat's your prediction for the 2024 US election?message-square58arrow-up127arrow-down112file-text
arrow-up115arrow-down1message-squareWhat's your prediction for the 2024 US election?@return2ozma to [email protected] • 22 hours agomessage-square58file-text
minus-squareDessalineslinkfedilink6•edit-28 hours agoThe current betting odds aggregations have trump at 58%, harris at 41% https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president
minus-square@Zacpodlink6•5 hours agoWell that’s disheartening. Can’t believe that many people prefer a racist con man to a competent woman.
minus-square@johannesvanderwhaleslink3•3 hours agoBetting markets don’t really have any predictive value. It’s all vibes.
minus-square@[email protected]linkfedilink3•5 hours agoWikipedia lists Real Clear Politics as having become more conservative and right leaning in recent years. Their polls may not be as accurate.
minus-squareDessalineslinkfedilink1•3 hours agoThat’s not a poll. It’s an aggregate / average of betting markets.
The current betting odds aggregations have trump at 58%, harris at 41%
https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president
Well that’s disheartening. Can’t believe that many people prefer a racist con man to a competent woman.
Betting markets don’t really have any predictive value. It’s all vibes.
Wikipedia lists Real Clear Politics as having become more conservative and right leaning in recent years. Their polls may not be as accurate.
That’s not a poll. It’s an aggregate / average of betting markets.