According to these CNN exist polls, 53% of respondent voters were women, and 47% were men. 54% of female respondents voted for Harris, 44% for Trump. 54% of male respondents for Trump and 44% for Harris. That means Harris should win the popular vote, if these polls are indicative of the election as a whole. But, she isn’t winning the popular vote, she’s losing by more than five million votes. That must mean that many more women than men voted on election day, but many more men than women voted early and/or by mail/absentee. Isn’t that kind of odd? You’d think the gender breakdown of mail in and early voting would be roughly the same as election day voting. The only other thing I can think of is these exit polls just aren’t indicative of the election broadly. Maybe CNN’s exit polls aren’t capturing a large or diverse enough sample size?
I can see how that might happen if there were more groups or options, but this is relatively straight forward. There are two possible choices for gender: male or female, and each of the two candidates won their respective gender by 54% to 44%. Since these exit polls indicate that more women voted than men, I don’t see how this could result in Harris not winning more votes overall.
Run the numbers again with abstained votes.
If the women entered the polls only to vote for Abortion, but left the President line blank, then it easily explains one potential issue.
Just because people went to the polls doesn’t mean they even voted on the Presidency.
But this poll indicates that voters were asked specifically which presidential candidate they voted for. They could have lied, but I’m not sure why they would.
The only explanation I can think of is many more men than women voted early/absentee, enough to more than overcome the higher turnout of women than men on election day. Either that or these exist polls just aren’t very indicative.
The poll left out nonbinary folks who must have all voted for Trump!
Bruh, no. That’s not how exit polls work.