AI (LLM software) is not a bubble. It’s been effectively implemented as a utility framework across many platforms. Most of those platforms are using OpenAI’s models. I don’t know when or if that’ll make OpenAI 100 billion dollars, but it’s not a bubble - this is not the .COM situation.
Not the person you replied to, but I think you’re both “right”. The ridiculous hype bubble (I’ll call it that for sure) put “AI” everywhere, and most of those are useless gimmicks.
But there’s also already uses that offer things I’d call novel and useful enough to have some staying power, which also means they’ll be iterated on and improved to whatever degree there is useful stuff there.
(And just to be clear, an LLM - no matter the use cases and bells and whistles - seems completely incapable of approaching any reasonable definition of AGI, to me)
I think people misunderstand a bubble. The .com bubble happened but the internet was useful and stayed around. The AI bubble doesn’t mean AI isn’t useful just that most of the chaf well disapear.
To each his own, but I use Copilot and the ChatGPT app positively on a daily. The Copilot integration into our SharePoint files is extremely helpful. I’m able to curate data that would not show up in a standard search of file name and content indexing.
You’re right about the definition, and I do think the LLMs will aid in a product offering’s profitability, if not directly generate profits. But OP didn’t mean economically, they meant LLMs will go the way of slap bracelets.
They said “AI bubble collapses” first then “their value” - meaning the product’s practical use stops functioning (people stop using it) first thus causing economic breakdown for the companies as a result.
It’s obvious that the OP is expecting LLMs to be a fad that people will soon be forgetting.
I think that “exactly like” it’s absurd. Bubbles are never “exactly” like the previous ones.
I think in this case there is a clear economical value in what they produce (from the POV of capitalism, not humanity’s best interests), but the cost is absurdly huge to be economically viable, hence, it is a bubble. But in the dot com bubble, many companies had a very dubious value in the first place.
OpenAI doesn’t produce LLMs only. People are gonna be paying for stuff like Sora or DallE. And people are also paying for LLMs (e.g. Copilot, or whatever advanced stuff OpenAI offers in their paid plan).
How many, and how much? I don’t know, and I am not sure it can ever be profitable, but just reducing it to “chains of bullshit” to justify that it has no value to the masses seems insincere to me. ChatGPT gained a lot of users in record time, and we know is used a lot (often more than it should, of course). Someone is clearly seeing value in it, and it doesn’t matter if you and I disagree with them on that value.
I still facepalm when I see so many people paying for fucking Twitter blue, but the fact is that they are paying.
Guess we’re never getting AGI then, there’s no way they end up with that much profit before this whole AI bubble collapses and their value plummets.
AI (LLM software) is not a bubble. It’s been effectively implemented as a utility framework across many platforms. Most of those platforms are using OpenAI’s models. I don’t know when or if that’ll make OpenAI 100 billion dollars, but it’s not a bubble - this is not the .COM situation.
The vast majority of those implementations are worthless. Mostly ignored by it’s intended users, seen as a useless gimmick.
LLM have it’s uses but companies are pushing them into every areas to see what sticks at the moment.
Not the person you replied to, but I think you’re both “right”. The ridiculous hype bubble (I’ll call it that for sure) put “AI” everywhere, and most of those are useless gimmicks.
But there’s also already uses that offer things I’d call novel and useful enough to have some staying power, which also means they’ll be iterated on and improved to whatever degree there is useful stuff there.
(And just to be clear, an LLM - no matter the use cases and bells and whistles - seems completely incapable of approaching any reasonable definition of AGI, to me)
I think people misunderstand a bubble. The .com bubble happened but the internet was useful and stayed around. The AI bubble doesn’t mean AI isn’t useful just that most of the chaf well disapear.
The dotcom bubble was based on technology that had already been around for ten years. The AI bubble is based on technology that doesn’t exist yet.
Yeah, it’s so a question of if OpenAI won’t lose too many of its investors when all the users that don’t stick fall down.
This is simply false.
To each his own, but I use Copilot and the ChatGPT app positively on a daily. The Copilot integration into our SharePoint files is extremely helpful. I’m able to curate data that would not show up in a standard search of file name and content indexing.
To be fair, a bubble is more of an economic thing and not necessarily tied to product/service features.
LLMs clearly have utility, but is it enough to turn them into a profitable business line?
You’re right about the definition, and I do think the LLMs will aid in a product offering’s profitability, if not directly generate profits. But OP didn’t mean economically, they meant LLMs will go the way of slap bracelets.
Sounds like they meant economics to me.
They said “AI bubble collapses” first then “their value” - meaning the product’s practical use stops functioning (people stop using it) first thus causing economic breakdown for the companies as a result.
It’s obvious that the OP is expecting LLMs to be a fad that people will soon be forgetting.
It’s a bubble. It doesn’t mean the tech does not have its uses. And it is exactly like the .com situation.
I think that “exactly like” it’s absurd. Bubbles are never “exactly” like the previous ones.
I think in this case there is a clear economical value in what they produce (from the POV of capitalism, not humanity’s best interests), but the cost is absurdly huge to be economically viable, hence, it is a bubble. But in the dot com bubble, many companies had a very dubious value in the first place.
There is clear economic value in chains of bullshit that may or may not ever have a correct answer?
OpenAI doesn’t produce LLMs only. People are gonna be paying for stuff like Sora or DallE. And people are also paying for LLMs (e.g. Copilot, or whatever advanced stuff OpenAI offers in their paid plan).
How many, and how much? I don’t know, and I am not sure it can ever be profitable, but just reducing it to “chains of bullshit” to justify that it has no value to the masses seems insincere to me. ChatGPT gained a lot of users in record time, and we know is used a lot (often more than it should, of course). Someone is clearly seeing value in it, and it doesn’t matter if you and I disagree with them on that value.
I still facepalm when I see so many people paying for fucking Twitter blue, but the fact is that they are paying.
Completely wrong.
Ever heard of the internet bubble?
Yeah. That’s what I just mentioned.