The U.S. grocery sector—dominated by Kroger, Walmart, and a handful of other major companies—profited hugely during the Covid-19 pandemic as corporate giants exploited supply chain disruptions to aggressively jack up prices.

The underlying problem here was limited supply, and when supply drops, prices go up. When supply returned to normal, prices returned to normal (plus inflation). People were mad because Kroger (and others, but especially Kroger) acted exactly as you’d expect by making as much as they could from their limited supply. Look at Kroger’s revenue, which grew pretty naturally, which means they offset reduced volume with higher margins.

So I absolutely expect the same thing to happen again, because it’s a very similar situation. Prices will return to normal once supply returns to normal. The first companies to create supply get the most profit, and then prices stabilize.

This isn’t some AG conspiracy or anything, just individual companies making greedy decisions, an which eventually will even out to the previous status quo. Kroger does not (yet) have a monopoly, so their prices are capped at whatever is the tipping point at which people will go to a competitor or go without. It’s not nice, but it’s also not surprising.