• @khannie
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      2 days ago

      I just did the numbers for shits and giggles.

      Ukraine is 635,000 square kilometres = 653 billion square metres. The “New Safe” that was hit is roughly 43000 square metres.

      To randomly hit it (not realistic I know, but it gives an interesting result) as I understand it would be just shy of 1 in 15 million.

      • @[email protected]
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        15 days ago

        But to be fair,Tyou shouldn’t count all of Ukraine’s territory, but the Russian controlled ground and the front line plus maybe 50km or so deep into Ukraine’s territory.

        • @khannie
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          5 days ago

          I did consider that, but many (most maybe?) of the Shaheds would be launched from well behind the front lines so would be traveling over occupied Ukraine was my thinking. I have no idea on the actual stats there.

        • @Maalus
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          15 days ago

          To be fair you should count Poland territory too, since apparently drones have been flying and crashing in there too.