Based on current trends, I’d say we might get SSDs and HDDs at the same cost per GB around 2030. That’s based on prices being 12-13x higher in 2015, and around 5x higher now. SSD cost efficiencies are slowing down, but there will also be a big change in demand once the prices get close, because SSDs have other advantages people will switch as soon as it’s economical.
I’ve currently got a 200TB storage array using enterprise HDDs (shout out to Backblaze’s HDD failure rate publications), and I definitely would not have been able to afford 200TB of enterprise SSDs.
Based on current trends, I’d say we might get SSDs and HDDs at the same cost per GB around 2030. That’s based on prices being 12-13x higher in 2015, and around 5x higher now. SSD cost efficiencies are slowing down, but there will also be a big change in demand once the prices get close, because SSDs have other advantages people will switch as soon as it’s economical.
I’ve currently got a 200TB storage array using enterprise HDDs (shout out to Backblaze’s HDD failure rate publications), and I definitely would not have been able to afford 200TB of enterprise SSDs.
Yeah, for anything over 10TB for an individual consumer it will take time.