More Swedes want to switch currency from the krona to the Euro, with support the highest it’s been since 2009, according to a survey by Gothenburg University’s SOM Institute.
Paywall? https://archive.is/ZXdUu
More Swedes want to switch currency from the krona to the Euro, with support the highest it’s been since 2009, according to a survey by Gothenburg University’s SOM Institute.
Paywall? https://archive.is/ZXdUu
The government has to balance the budget anyway, and devaluing your currency is a bit like peeing your pants. It’s nice and warm for a bit and then increasingly uncomfortable.
Inflation goes up, you see capital fights because you’re not a reliable currency, you increase your national debt, and you instantly make the entire population poorer than their neighbor countries.
So while there are some benefits, most economists argue against it.
I can’t say if Sweden going for the Euro is good or bad for Sweden, and there’s a paradox in asking people about it, because if the SEK is weak then support goes up, but it’s a bad time to join because of the low value, but if the SEK is strong then support goes down, although we’d be in a much position to join.
This is neoliberal dogma with bad consequences for the majority. While there are plenty of economists who subscribe to it, there are plenty others who don’t. Economics isn’t a well proven science and as a result there are giant gaps filled with unproven hypotheses. While the primacy of budget balancing has been promoted by neoliberal economists since the 70s, evidence has been piling up against it for a while.
Given that new money is created every time a private bank gives out a loan, the only real difference between the government having the ability to create new money or not is the difference between whether the government has to seek private capital (and pay interest on it) or not. Therefore removing the ability to print your own currency is simply shifting public policy power to private capital. Most people don’t have enough private capital to participate, therefore it’s an increase in the political power of a minority upper class including international actors. One result of this is private capital gaining the power to force austerity by not lending money in need, then profiting from that policy by buying up government services and operating them for profit, typically as monopolies. E.g. healthcare, power, water utilities. The demand for profit means price increases which means inflation.
Therefore a responsible government should retain the ability to create its own currency, create it and destroy it by targeting metrics such as inflation and employment, not budget balances.
Money is just a way to make somebody pay. The problem you describe only happens, when a government is bad in using its money. That leads to high debt. If the country controls the currency it borrows in, then a solution is to print a lot of money to pay back the debt. However that comes with inflation, which usually means poor people have to pay for it. Alternativly the country might not pay at all, which would mainly hurt the rich.
One really important other part of that is that private capital is not able to force austerity. If they have it in your country, the government can just tax them.
Disagree on some of the points but I’ll only address the need for money printing and forced austerity since those are the only ones I can relatively concisely. I agree on the assessment on who gets hurt by inflation and default.
I’m not sure if you’re saying that governments only need to print more money if they’re bad with it but I’ll address some needs for money printing just in case.
There are plenty of reasons for governments to print money. For example, population growth. Having growing population and the economic expansion that comes with it, without monetary expansion leads to price instability where prices have to fall in order for the same amount of money to be able to buy more clothes and bread made and consumed by the new people. Price instability is a problem (e.g. deflationary spiral) which is why the government prints money and releases it into the economy to compensate for the increased number of people and goods to keep the prices stable. Critically, the government cannot borrow or tax this money from its citizens because that will remove it from the very economy the government is trying to add money in. End herein lies the clue the government cannot borrow or tax money it hasn’t printed and spent first. Printing and spending has to appear first or a government has nothing to tax or borrow. This is why a government does not need to borrow or tax in order to spend. A government might choose to borrow or tax for different reasons after printing and spending. E.g. it could tax in order to keep inflation in check. I’m not saying all governments understand that and I’m definitely implying that the ones that use the family budget analogy don’t understand how the system works.
This is only true under the additional assumption that the government in question is not ideologically or financially subservient to private capital. If it is, as many are, it will choose not to tax, in which case it would be forced to cut spending and/or sell off assets, which is austerity. This process has driven austerity and privatization in many places around the world. It’s driven it where I live as well. In Canada, we’ve sold railways, utilities and highways, among others.
By your theory monopolies should be much more common in countries that are already part of the Euro
There are many other variables that affect monopoly density which don’t sit frozen. It’s why this conclusion doesn’t follow from what I said, unless you have a magic wand that can fix them in multiple economies.
Inflation can be controlled. Public spending creates money and taxation destroys it, ensuring the total supply of money doesn’t outstrip demand and cause inflaton. Without that sovereignty they can’t create or destroy money, they are subject to the whims of the currency bloc.
It’s just another tool in the toolbox. Giving it up is foolish.
While that’s certainly true, we also had businesses speculate against the Swedish currency in the early 1990s, driving up interest rates to over 500% for a few days in order to stop the outflow of capital.
So there are arguments for adopting the Euro too. But like I said, I’m not informed enough to say which is better. It’s a very complex issue.
How is that an argument for adopting the Euro? They stopped the outflow of capital in a couple days, and it’s been 30 years. Seems like it worked.
They could do it because we were a small currency, and it it didn’t quite work, at least not the way it worked before. The currency is now “floating” against other currencies which it wasn’t back then, and we had a recession at the time. I agree that Sweden would be giving up a few tools in the economic toolbox, but on the other hand it gains a few others. I can’t say which ones are more valuable because I’m not an economist. I suspect you’re not either.
We should be able to have public debate about public policy. My opinion obviously doesn’t matter much, but the decision is ultimately in the hands of Sweden’s people - not economists.
And the whims of large domestic and international private capital as the other source of money they can rely on in need.
Domestic capital can be controlled.
International capital is a problem, but financial imperialism isn’t an argument for surrender. It only hightens the need for sovereignty!
How do you control it once it’s gained power over the government and democracy? I understand how you can control it prior to that, but you’re still giving it power that previously belonged to the workers, you’re making it easier for it to entrench this power, and the right to be paid for it to top it off. I get you’re making the point that it’s the lesser problem than international capital, but it’s still a problem that a people probably doesn’t want to create for itself unless it really needs to. 😀
You avoid giving it even more power over the government by surrendering currency sovereignty!