The poll found 50% of Democrats approve of how Biden has navigated the conflict while 46% disapprove — and the two groups diverge substantially in their views of U.S. support for Israel. Biden’s support on the issue among Democrats is down slightly from August, as an AP-NORC poll conducted then found that 57% of Democrats approved of his handling of the conflict and 40% disapproved.
Wow, this will lead to a huge bump in his primary opponents polling. What? He doesn’t have any? Well, then why the fuck would Biden care what democratic voters think? All he has to do is be to the left of whomever the Republicans nominate after Trump is thrown in jail.
This assumes that everyone actually goes to vote.
If someone is disillusioned, they may sit out that vote. I know I’ve heard a few republicans basically say “I can’t vote for Trump, but I certainly can’t vote for a democrat, so I’ll just leave that one blank”. This could be a similar situation here, that folks disheartened by support given to a country going too far in a military response and unable to vote for it with a clear conscience.
Logically, one would realize the alternative is even worse and vote for lesser of evils, but some folks don’t vote that way.
Depresses voter turnout in the general.
Its a failure of communications. A ceasefire without the return of hostages means that hezbollah strikes, the middle east erupts into war, and Gaza gets leveled by Iran. So a humanitarian pause is much more appropriate if you are trying to prevent palestinians from being killed. Theh have done a very poor job of communicating that.