FWIW I deleted my Reddit accounts on 6/8 and started checking out Lemmy this week after a couple weeks of sorely missing Reddit and trying to make other platforms fill the void.
People chose 3rd party apps. Whether that’s because they’ve been there longer than Reddit having their own app (like I was), not liking Reddit’s app, or something else they still opted to use it via something unofficial.
Reddit’s app is garbage and invasive. I’ve got duck duck go’s privacy thing and tried Reddit’s app a few months back with it. It had more blocked requests than anything else on my phone. On top of that it was the worst experience I had with any app to access Reddit.
I don’t know how much I think your 70% is high, but I bet it is. On top of that I think some percent that do use it via official app will jump off in the coming weeks.
All that said I could also see the other numbers adjusting too, so the amount of new users next week could still be in the 5% neighborhood.
I believe I may be uniquely able to comment on this, actually. I managed a technical support team as our company discontinued our old app, which was still much loved by a subset of our users. They were NOT happy about it.
Almost all of the changes happened prior to the final date that we communicated. Everything kind of shook out before then - users either moved to the new app, or left us completely. We expected there to be more of a shuffle on the final date, but almost nothing happened.
Maybe it will be different here? You could say I had Reddit HQ’s perspective, rather than Lemmy’s, and that I wouldnt hear much from the people that just left, which may be true. I hope so.
Do you think most people act before the bad stuff happens? Or after?
FWIW I deleted my Reddit accounts on 6/8 and started checking out Lemmy this week after a couple weeks of sorely missing Reddit and trying to make other platforms fill the void.
well, they panic while bad stuff happens…
but act? most people always only react, never act.
That’s what I meant, most people aren’t going to look for Lemmy until what they are used to actually stops working.
I’m sure there will be a not insignificant number of users who don’t even realize until sometime in July that their third-party app isn’t working
As a terminally online person, I sometimes forget that a lot of people simply browse sites like reddit casually or infrequently
Actually, the discretisation will probably be like:
70% just download the official Reddit app and don’t mind
20% leave the site and don’t look for alternatives
10% look for alternatives
And half of them choose Lemmy
So we might get like 5% of Reddit’s entire 3rd party userbase across all of Lemmy. Which sounds tiny but is actually frighteningly large.
I think your 70% is high.
People chose 3rd party apps. Whether that’s because they’ve been there longer than Reddit having their own app (like I was), not liking Reddit’s app, or something else they still opted to use it via something unofficial.
Reddit’s app is garbage and invasive. I’ve got duck duck go’s privacy thing and tried Reddit’s app a few months back with it. It had more blocked requests than anything else on my phone. On top of that it was the worst experience I had with any app to access Reddit.
I don’t know how much I think your 70% is high, but I bet it is. On top of that I think some percent that do use it via official app will jump off in the coming weeks.
All that said I could also see the other numbers adjusting too, so the amount of new users next week could still be in the 5% neighborhood.
I believe I may be uniquely able to comment on this, actually. I managed a technical support team as our company discontinued our old app, which was still much loved by a subset of our users. They were NOT happy about it.
Almost all of the changes happened prior to the final date that we communicated. Everything kind of shook out before then - users either moved to the new app, or left us completely. We expected there to be more of a shuffle on the final date, but almost nothing happened.
Maybe it will be different here? You could say I had Reddit HQ’s perspective, rather than Lemmy’s, and that I wouldnt hear much from the people that just left, which may be true. I hope so.