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  • Refurbished Refurbisher
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    210 months ago

    I think that a Milton Friedman/Ronald Reagan style of anarcho-capitalist idiology will eventually become popular in any capitalist system, as capitalism demands endless growth at its core.

    You can put some patchwork on top of it (social democracy-style regulations and safety nets), but since people are allowed to have enough power to buy governments and influence media conglomerates, it will just revert back into what we now call late stage capitalism.

    Although even if we cap income, politicians are surprisingly cheap to buy. $10000 slipped into the right pocket could influence the vote enough for a deregulation-bill to pass, not to mention privately-owned media has the need to make a profit, and they’re going to want to make more profit so much, that they’ll do whatever it takes to do so.

    • @Buffalox
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      210 months ago

      I think what you describe is important to be aware of, and as things are now it rings mostly true. But I’m not entirely sure. Wasn’t USA even more capitalistic in the late 1800’s? then it turned towards actually improving conditions under and after the great depression. Which went reasonably well until the late 70’s, where it probably peaked with Jimmy Carter. Ironically the oil crisis reversed the direction. But I suspect the direction can be reversed again.
      AFAIK Russians considered the 70’s as late stage capitalism, but instead it was the Soviet Union that collapsed.
      But again as things are now USA with Republicans getting ever more extreme it is going really really bad over there IMO, But USA is a very poor democracy, where an undemocratic or at least far from ideal 2 party system is protected by first past the post elections, that undermines democracy, together with a flawed system of freedom of speech that allows the press to spread outright lies without repercussions.
      Most EU countries have better and stronger democracies, and I don’t think we are seeing late stage capitalism taking over here. Although we have some right wing tendencies, that are mostly driven by high immigration from the middle east, immigrants that on average don’t adapt well into our societies. Compared to the compassion of democracies in that regard, we have seen almost zero compassion from communist countries, so with regard to human values, socialism/*communism seems to not be the answer.

      • Refurbished Refurbisher
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        10 months ago

        According to Professor Richard Wolff (economic historian and Marxist economist), capitalism fails on average every 47 years. The late 1800s to the Great Depression was about 50-ish years; the Great Depression to the 70s oil crisis was about 30-40 years (depending on when you start timing it, if post-Depression or during); the Reagan-era 1980s deregulation to 2008 was 30-ish years, 2008 to COVID was 12 years.

        Also worth noting that what ended the Great Depression was both FDR’s social democracy-style of politics along with the economic boost that WW2 gave to the US.

        The USSR failed for many reasons. One of which is totally their fault, where they didn’t adopt computers early enough. Another big fault, though, is the Cold War, where the US did everything in its power to overthrow Communist idiology wherever possible (see: Korea and Vietnam for extreme examples). That also includes economic sanctions, like we see today with the US and Cuba. When the US sanctions a country, they don’t do as well as when they have the ability to trade. This is because the US is a massive global economic superpower that produces a lot of important things needed to run a society, like medicine, technology, food, etc.

        I’m not as well versed in current-day European politics, but do communist countries even exist in modern day Europe? If they do, then they’re probably poorer due to the probable economic sanctions levied by capitalist countries (the US generally forces countries that it trades with to also sanction US state enemies, which includes all countries considering themselves Communist, other than China since China became a massive economic superpower, in part due to the US establishing free trade agreements with Permenant Normal Trade Relations with China). I’m just guessing on this front, though. I also am not as well versed as to the timelines of social democracy on Europe, but I have been seeing more economicly right wing voices in European politics as of late.

        Social democracy probably extends that 47 year timeline a bit, but deregulation will usually come at one point or another, since corruption can still exist. Not that Communism doesn’t have corruption issues either, because it definitely does. The issue is centralization of power. Marxist-style Anarchy might be an option, but TBH I’m not well versed enough on that subject to really comment on it or give an opinion on it.

        • @Buffalox
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          110 months ago

          There are no European countries that are communist anymore.
          The only communist country that has ever done well economically is China, and that was after they threw away socialist dogma, and allowed capitalism in their economy.
          I live in Denmark, which is part of Scandinavia, and we have been using the social democratic model since 1924 when we got a social democratic prime minister, who is also our longest sitting prime minister with 15 years.
          Yes we are seeing an unfortunate turn to the right in recent years, as I mentioned before, probably to a large degree because of Immigration from the middle east. Where the right claim they will stop immigration. But probably also because we have seen socialism/communism is a failed model that simply doesn’t work.
          Social democracy on the other hand does work pretty well, and is probably the strongest at protecting the population and observing human rigts. But currently people don’t want a humane government, they want the immigration to stop, because it threatens our democracies and economic model with a high degree of social welfare.

          • Refurbished Refurbisher
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            110 months ago

            100 years is quite a long time to maintain social demcracy.

            While the right is using immigration to gain political power, I think if there wasn’t increased immigration, they would find some other way of gaining power. Idk which came first, but a lot of right wing politicians globally are taking notes from the US right (mainly Donald Trump), and the move towards fascism is gaining ground in many places right now, unfortunately. I can only comment on the US, really, but I believe in the US that this is successful due to people having economic hardship, which leads them to have more extreme idiologies (either socialism or fascism).

            I hope Denmark will be able to maintain their social democracy and show that fascism is not the way.

            Unfortunately, according to Marxist theory, social democracy will inevitably devolve back into straight capitalism, or worse. I hope Denmark can prove it wrong.

            • @Buffalox
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              210 months ago

              100 years is quite a long time to maintain social demcracy.

              Yes it is, but it’s not a Social democratic government all the time, but even when it’s not, the policies of the right are leaning a lot towards it. Our right govern way more like the left than the Democrats of USA. We also once had a communist party, even with representation in parliament. But it collapsed with the Soviet Union.

              a lot of right wing politicians globally are taking notes from the US right (mainly Donald Trump)

              Yes, USA remains a huge influence here too, despite how obviously and incredibly stupid their policies are. We have a couple right wing parties that still at times take inspiration from Republicans. But luckily it’s impossible to actually use their policies here. For instance Gay marriage and LGBT rights are not in question here, and neither is the Scandinavian welfare model we build on. It’s sad that USA inspired democracy in Europe, but they haven’t been able to modernize it to better standards.

              the move towards fascism is gaining ground in many places right now,

              That’s what I’m seeing too. There have been some regressions in Europe too, mostly the old Eastern block, but also Italy and Netherlands. Netherlands is very disappointing IMO, because it’s a country that in many ways is like Denmark.

              I hope Denmark will be able to maintain their social democracy and show that fascism is not the way.

              Yes I sure hope so too, it’s funny that we are among the countries in Europe with the least amount of problems from fascism and Nazism in particular, probably more because rather than despite the Nazi party is actually legal here. That makes it easy for media to point out how stupid they are, and it makes it easy for security services to keep an eye on them.

              Unfortunately, according to Marxist theory, social democracy will inevitably devolve back into straight capitalism, or worse. I hope Denmark can prove it wrong.

              Funny story, my history teacher in the 70’s claimed that the reason Communist countries weren’t more aggressive towards capitalism, was that they expected capitalism to fail soon by itself.
              Well I guess they didn’t account for the strength of democracy, which unfortunately isn’t as strong in USA and UK as it is in Europe.
              Capitalism has reigned the west for 2000+ years where the Romans invented banks, saying that it will fail now for some reason, does not agree with the experience we have from history. The experience we have with Communism on the other hand is way worse. Maybe China has a model that can last IDK, but in general by Marxist theory, it simply doesn’t work, and neither do his predictions about capitalism. He was right on one point though, and that was that the exploitation of ordinary workers including child labor needed to be fixed. His way of doing that however was not it.

              In your defense, our social democrats are not what they used to be, they are more center now than left wing in the current government, but they’ve also lost a lot of support on that. Unfortunately that support has spread to both sides for some reason. Denmark is not as left leaning as I would like, and I shudder at the thought that most places are actually worse. 😱

              • Refurbished Refurbisher
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                210 months ago

                The experience the world has had with communism is generally due to the centralization of power. Marx advocated for a stateless society, which, while it is something that I don’t fully understand, I think that it gets closer to a true democracy than a centralized government.

                • @Buffalox
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                  210 months ago

                  I applaud Marx for trying to do something in a constructive way against the indecency of hard Capitalism. But maybe the reason you don’t understand how to do Marxism without ending up with totalitarian communism, is because his idea that the state would wither away with Marxism because it is unneeded is fundamentally flawed.
                  I think that to have a good well functioning society, it needs to be strong. to be strong it needs to be well defined and organized. The idea that we can have a nice society without rules the majority agree on is ridiculous. The best way to have rules that are mostly accepted, is with democracy. Unless it’s an extreme religious country, where they will only accept religious doctrine.
                  As you have probably heard before, democracy isn’t perfect, but it’s the least bad option we have. With social democracy we control capitalism to not be (as) exploitive, and we combine the best we have: The humanity of socialism and democracy with the economic efficiency of capitalism controlled to avoid harm.
                  I don’t think you can create an economic model that won’t end up being exploitive if it’s not strictly controlled by regulation and an efficient government to enforce it.

                  • Refurbished Refurbisher
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                    10 months ago

                    So actually what we, as a society, have, is not considered a democracy, but instead is a constitutional republic (although some countries don’t have constitutions). Besides that, we have essentially dictatorships, or in-between states. We do not have any direct democracies, which I think could be a good compromise between a stateless society and a centralized society. Here’s my idea for how a modern, direct democratic society could run:

                    We have the internet and technologies like blockchain that can securely and verifiably store data that we could use as a voting system with fast elections. I know blockchain is kind of a toxic term with all of the scams that have been happening, but what I’m describing has nothing to do with anything that has financial value, and cannot be transfered/sold/exchanged between people.

                    1. Each “wallet” will expire after an election.
                    2. Each “wallet” is assigned via government ID number; each “wallet” is given a certain number of vote counts, but in different tokens (one for each vote). One person gets only one “wallet”.
                    3. “Crypto-votes” can only be transferred to one “wallet” address (owned by the government doing the election).
                    4. The option to vote in person will still exist.
                    5. The sender will always remain private, due to the need for anonymous voting (this can be done the same way Monero hides transactions, which is via ring signatures), but the sendee must be public, so that if there’s an exploit that allows sending votes to another “wallet” or double voting, that can be traced on the public blockchain, along with being able to trust the voting system due to being able to count the vote yourself.
                    6. The voting system must be entirely open source and licensed to be able to publicly audit and modify the code, so that improvements could be made by whoever can.
                    7. The government receiving “wallet” will be publically available to look at in the blockchain.
                    8. Each government will have their own blockchain (kind of obvious, but thought I’d state it anyway)
                    9. Some kind of ranked voting, STAR, or whatever the most mathematically proven voting system is.
                    10. I like how the US has a constitution that is amendable, but is difficult to change. The Bill of Rights, for example, gives people rights that cannot be taken away, even by passed laws that attempt to override it. Of course, right now, that requires a supreme court, and historically supreme courts with power to rule things unconstitutional have used that power to be oligarchs. I’m not too sure how to fix this issue.
                    11. There is also the issue of voter fatigue, which is where the idea for a republic came from to begin with. I personally think that it’s worth the tradeoff to have the people have more direct power. Not everyone is going to vote all the time, but people who want their voices heard can have themselves heard. There will also be the option to abstain from votes.
                    12. We also need to find a way to solve the energy consumption issue with crypto. There have been other proofing methods introduced, such as using disk storage space instead of computationally intensive reverse-hashing workloads, like with Chia, using what they call Proof of Space Time.
                    13. If the internet/electricity/whatever fails, there will be a paper fallback with copies of the ballots available upon request (copies could be made with a battery powered printer and computer if needed). Each ballot will be scanned into the same battery powered computer upon casting. Each ballot will be both counted by a computer and by a human/team of humans.

                    This could essentially replace the Parliamentary system, or the US Congressional system, which giving people more direct power over their government.

                    There would still be a need for an executive branch (in US terminology), where there’s a state leader, along with their cabinet (again, US terms) of agency leaders, all individually voted for. I believe this would provide the centralized “power” that you described.

                    Also on the economic model that doesn’t allow for exploitation, I like Richard Wolff’s idea of forcing all businesses (above, say 100 employees) to be worker-owned co-ops. In Prof. Wolff’s terms, it will bring democracy to the workplace.