I mean London has been one of if not the centre of finance for what 300 ish years? Being part of the EU was definitely a plus and losing that has likely caused some business to move away but its not like London was a bit player in finance until it joined the EU in the 70s, seems natural to think it will remain a large player afterwards, if not as large as if it stayed in the EU.
At the time London was the capital of a global empire. I do not see any structural reasons, aside from legacy convenience, why London should remain more relevant than an EU financial hub in the long run.
The currency is only relevant in the UK, the market power is weak compared to the EU or US, access to qualified workers is getting more difficult since Brexit…
London wasn’t the centre of a global empire in 1960 either, but it was still one of the main global financial centres. The fact that GBP isnt as important as the euro or USD isnt really a factor there as far as I understand (that’s more important to the British government and how much leeway it has in monetary and fiscal policy).
Where we are againt at the point that these changes dont happen over night, as there is oportunity costs associated with moving.
until 1940 London was a the centre of a global empire, albeit a dying one. Then when the last remains of the empire died off, the EU predeccessory came and Thatchers violent neoliberalization to safe London as a finance hub.
But unless we see another push like Thatchers, that this time would basically need to enslave the average Britain to the markets, i don’t see how London will keep itself afloat in the long run.
I mean London has been one of if not the centre of finance for what 300 ish years? Being part of the EU was definitely a plus and losing that has likely caused some business to move away but its not like London was a bit player in finance until it joined the EU in the 70s, seems natural to think it will remain a large player afterwards, if not as large as if it stayed in the EU.
At the time London was the capital of a global empire. I do not see any structural reasons, aside from legacy convenience, why London should remain more relevant than an EU financial hub in the long run.
The currency is only relevant in the UK, the market power is weak compared to the EU or US, access to qualified workers is getting more difficult since Brexit…
London wasn’t the centre of a global empire in 1960 either, but it was still one of the main global financial centres. The fact that GBP isnt as important as the euro or USD isnt really a factor there as far as I understand (that’s more important to the British government and how much leeway it has in monetary and fiscal policy).
Where we are againt at the point that these changes dont happen over night, as there is oportunity costs associated with moving.
until 1940 London was a the centre of a global empire, albeit a dying one. Then when the last remains of the empire died off, the EU predeccessory came and Thatchers violent neoliberalization to safe London as a finance hub.
But unless we see another push like Thatchers, that this time would basically need to enslave the average Britain to the markets, i don’t see how London will keep itself afloat in the long run.