• Neuromancer
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    -87 months ago

    It will be very dire. Russia has a lot of people to throw at the problem. That’s how the they won Ww2. They didn’t win based on tactics. They threw more people at the slaughter. I’m just shocked the average Russian has had enough of this yet.

    • @Linkerbaan
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      7 months ago

      Russia is just producing more weapons this is not a manpower problem. And after using Ukraine as meat puppets to tank the Russian economy we are now abandoning them as we did with past allies such as the Kurds.

      • Neuromancer
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        17 months ago

        I’ve been shocked at how little ammo we can produce. I always assumed America had more capacity to produce ammo. I get stingers and javelins are limited runs but 155mm ammo seems like something we should be able to produce in large quantities but we can’t.

        • @Linkerbaan
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          47 months ago

          We can definitely produce large quantities. The problem is that we are giving Ukraine our old garbage to fight with. They are two years into the war and still haven’t received F16’s

          If we were serious we would have given Ukraine some good stuff at the start and they would have won before Russia was able to ramp up their weapons production.

          • Neuromancer
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            27 months ago

            I wouldn’t call the 155 ammo garbage. It’s just from our stockpile It isn’t as easy as hand them something. It’s takes training to use the weapon correctly. Most everything we’ve given is current issue for the United States military. You just can’t had them an f16. They need the equipment to use the f16. They need the training to fly the f16

            • @Linkerbaan
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              17 months ago

              Sure but it certainly doesn’t take two years.

              The point remains. Especially at the start of the invasion we just gave Ukraine old scraps. We did not give them what they needed to win, only to stall.

              • Neuromancer
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                -17 months ago

                I would say what we gave was scarps. It’s all current issue hardware. Nothing was obsolete.

                That’s been part of the problem. We can degrade our ability to fight by giving it to Ukraine.

                The large gap is the 155mm ammo. We can’t keep up with that.

                • @Linkerbaan
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                  7 months ago

                  We were sending cold war era Garbonzo at the start

                  Biden is reportedly sending Ukraine old Soviet air defense weapons from America’s own secret stockpile

                  After the Soviet Union collapsed in 1991, the U.S. went on a secret buying spree to collect “a small number of Soviet missile defense systems so that they could be examined by U.S. intelligence experts and help with training American forces,” The Wall Street Journal reports. Now, the U.S. is sending some of those air defense systems to Ukraine to help Ukrainian forces shoot down Russian fighter jets and missiles. Ukrainian soldiers already know how to operate old Soviet weapons systems.

                  An Obsolete German Tank Seeks a Second Life on Ukraine’s Front Lines

                  The Cold War-era Leopard 1A5 may be old, but it is still effective, Germany says. The country is now training Ukrainian troops to operate the weapons.

                  The Leopard 1A5 is so old, in fact, that the German trainers had to rely on soldiers from the Dutch and Danish armies — where the model was used for longer — and former German tank drivers who trained back in the 1980s and 1990s. The last time the German army actually taught recruits on the system was in 2000.

                  Some of the trainers were civilians in their 50s or 60s who took a break from their day jobs to help. “They were really important in getting us going from a cold start,” said Colonel Maulbecker, who normally commands a battalion of modern tanks.

                  Ukraine is getting Soviet-era fighter jets from Poland after Germany approves transfer

                  The German government on Thursday authorized Poland to transfer five Soviet-era fighter jets to Ukraine, boosting Kyiv’s ability to challenge Russia by air.

                  Poland obtained the MiG-29 jets from Germany in the early 2000s, according to media reports. They were originally used by the armed forces in Communist-era East Germany.

                  And I can go on and on with that list. Even now Ukraine is still waiting for their F16s and it’s probably too late by now.

                  • Neuromancer
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                    07 months ago

                    We Soviet equipment because Ukraine knew how to use it and has the expertise to support it. Most of our current equipment is Cold War. The m16 is from the Cold War. The m1 is from the Cold War. The f16 is from the Cold War. The m4 is from the Cold War.

                    The javelin and stinger are all Cold War.

                    I’m not sure why you are focused on the f16. It won’t change the war. I always see non/military people acting like the f-16 is a super weapon.

        • @Siegfried
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          17 months ago

          I remember from Churchill’s memories that he mentions as a rule of thumb (based on his experiences in both world wars) that a country needs something like 4 years to put the ammo industry up the conflict requirements… anyway, this isn’t (yet) ww2 by 2 orders of magnitude.

          • Neuromancer
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            -47 months ago

            I incorrectly assumed we had many factories running at smaller capacities. Turns out we shuttered those to save money.

            I get things like cruise missiles are done in large batches but just assumed 155mm had several lines.

    • @Siegfried
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      47 months ago

      Nah, they tuned their tactics a lot, that’s why they went from losing every battle with a 10r:1g ratio to win them with a 3r:1g ratio.

    • @dragontamer
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      17 months ago

      You might want to see who they threw into WW2.

      Hint: It was the Ukrainians. The ability for Ukrainians to survive is epic. Still, we need to support them to minimize their pain, we don’t want them to suffer WW2-like losses again or be forced to bear such burdens for Russia in the future.